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Detecting Dropshipping Risk Signals Guide

Detecting Dropshipping Risk Signals Guide

A dropshipping risk guide for acquirers and PSPs covering dispute drivers, core checks (supplier, fulfillment, delivery claims, returns, support), and evidence to collect for underwriting and ongoing monitoring.
Ballerine team
Jan 20, 2026
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Understanding Dropshipping Risk in Payments

Dropshipping as a business model carries manageable risk when properly verified. The real exposure comes from merchants who obscure their fulfillment arrangements, misrepresent delivery capabilities, or lack operational control over the customer experience. For payment providers, acquirers (entities that enable merchants to accept card payments), and risk teams, the challenge is distinguishing between transparent dropshippers with solid operations and merchants running high-risk fulfillment setups that generate chargebacks, consumer complaints, and regulatory scrutiny. This guide outlines what we verify when evaluating dropshipping merchants, what signals indicate operational control versus risk, and how to structure evidence-based underwriting for this merchant segment.

The Business Model

Dropshipping is a retail fulfillment method where a merchant sells products without holding inventory. When a customer places an order, the merchant purchases the item from a third-party supplier who ships directly to the customer. The merchant never sees or handles the product.

Revenue model:
  • Customer pays merchant retail price (example: $50)
  • Merchant pays supplier wholesale price (example: $25)
  • Merchant keeps margin ($25 in this example)

Why it attracts new merchants:
  • Low startup costs (no inventory investment)
  • No warehouse or fulfillment infrastructure required
  • Easy to test products and markets
  • Scalable without physical expansion

Why it creates payment risk:
  • Merchant has no control over product quality
  • Delivery times are dependent on supplier reliability
  • Return processing is logistically complex
  • Customer service requires coordination with external parties
  • Supply chain disruptions directly impact merchant performance

The Payment Risk Profile

Dropshipping merchants typically exhibit elevated chargeback rates compared to merchants who hold inventory. We observe several patterns:

Item Not Received (INR) chargebacks:
  • Longer delivery times (international shipping is common) increase likelihood of customer disputes
  • Tracking information may be delayed or incomplete
  • Customers file chargebacks before items arrive, especially if delivery exceeds stated timeframe

Significantly Not As Described (SNAD) disputes:
  • Product quality may differ from merchant's website representation
  • Merchants use supplier product photos that may not match actual items
  • Size, color, or material discrepancies are common

Regulatory considerations:

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission Mail, Internet, or Telephone Order Merchandise Rule (16 CFR Part 435) requires merchants to:

  • Ship orders within the timeframe stated in their advertising
  • Ship within 30 days if no timeframe is specified
  • Notify customers of delays and offer the option to cancel for full refund
  • Provide prompt refunds if the order is canceled

For dropshippers sourcing from overseas suppliers, meeting these requirements without operational control is challenging.

The European Union Consumer Rights Directive similarly mandates delivery within 30 days unless otherwise agreed, and grants consumers a 14-day right of withdrawal for distance contracts.

The Scenario: New E-commerce Brand with Outsourced Fulfillment

Consider a typical underwriting case that arrives in merchant acquisition queues:

Merchant Profile

Business details:
  • New online store selling consumer electronics, fashion accessories, or home goods
  • Website launched within the past 3 to 6 months
  • Domain registered recently (check WHOIS data)
  • Business entity incorporated within the past year
  • No physical storefront or showroom

Stated operations:
  • No physical inventory or warehouse listed on the website
  • Delivery times stated as 15 to 30 business days
  • Ships from "various warehouses" or location not specified
  • Supplier and fulfillment partner not disclosed on website
  • Business registration shows a residential address or virtual office
  • Processing volume projected at $50,000 to $150,000 per month
  • Average order value: $30 to $80

Website characteristics:
  • Product images appear to be stock photos or supplier catalog images
  • Product descriptions are generic or copied from other sites
  • Limited "About Us" information
  • No physical contact address, only email or contact form
  • Social media accounts are new with minimal followers
  • Few or no genuine customer reviews

Payment processing request:
  • Applying for card-not-present (CNP) merchant account
  • May request high processing limits immediately
  • Growth projections may be aggressive
  • May have been declined by other processors

Why This Profile Requires Enhanced Due Diligence

This profile appears regularly in merchant underwriting queues. The merchant is not necessarily fraudulent or intentionally deceptive, but the setup creates information asymmetry. Without verification, you cannot assess whether they can fulfill orders, handle returns, manage customer disputes, or sustain operations beyond the first few months.

Key vulnerabilities:
  1. No operational track record: New merchants lack historical performance data
  2. Unknown supplier relationship: No evidence of established, reliable fulfillment
  3. Delivery expectation mismatch: Website promises may not align with supplier capabilities
  4. Financial instability: Thin margins and no inventory buffer create cash flow risk
  5. Customer service gaps: Merchants underestimate support requirements
  6. Scalability questions: Can they handle volume spikes or supplier issues?

Payment processor exposure:
  • Elevated chargeback risk requiring higher reserves
  • Potential merchant failure leaving stranded refund obligations
  • Consumer complaints escalating to regulatory authorities
  • Card network fines if chargeback thresholds are exceeded
  • Reputational risk from association with problematic merchants

What We Verify: The Five Core Control Points

When underwriting dropshipping merchants, we focus on five areas that reveal operational control and the ability to deliver on customer promises. Each area requires documentary evidence, not just representations.

Supplier Identity and Relationship Verification

Why It Matters

Knowing who fulfills the orders allows you to assess capability, reliability, and recourse. If the merchant cannot or will not disclose their supplier, they lack operational transparency. This is different from protecting competitive information. We are not asking for supplier pricing, exclusive product sources, or competitive intelligence. We are confirming that a real, identifiable entity is handling fulfillment and that the merchant has an established relationship with them.

Risk scenarios without supplier verification:
  • Supplier disappears: Merchant accepts orders they cannot fulfill
  • Quality issues: No accountability for defective or misrepresented products
  • IP infringement: Supplier provides counterfeit or unauthorized products
  • Delivery failures: No recourse when shipments are delayed or lost
  • Financial disputes: Merchant cannot recover funds from unreliable supplier

What We Look For

Supplier legal identity:
  • Full legal business name
  • Business registration number or tax identification
  • Physical business address (not a drop box or forwarding service)
  • Country of incorporation and operation
  • Years in business (established suppliers preferred)

Relationship documentation:

  • Written supplier agreement, contract, or terms of service
  • Purchase orders from the past 3 to 6 months
  • Payment transaction history showing regular purchases
  • Communication records (email threads, order confirmations)
  • Supplier references or testimonials

Supplier operational capabilities:
  • Product catalog or inventory list
  • Stated shipping methods and delivery timeframes
  • Order fulfillment process documentation
  • Quality control procedures
  • Return and defect handling policies

Supplier reputation and verification:
  • Business registration verification via public registry
  • Website presence with verifiable domain age
  • Third-party reviews or ratings (Alibaba, Global Sources, industry directories)
  • Trade association memberships
  • Export or import licenses if applicable

Verification Process

Step 1: Request supplier disclosure

Ask the merchant to provide:
  • Supplier company name and registration details
  • Contact information (phone, email, physical address)
  • Description of products supplied
  • Length of relationship
  • Most recent invoices or purchase orders (3 to 6 months)

Step 2: Independent verification

Do not rely solely on merchant-provided documents:

For Chinese suppliers:
  • Use National Enterprise Credit Information Publicity System to verify business registration
  • Check supplier on major B2B platforms (Alibaba, Made-in-China, Global Sources)
  • Verify export license if claiming to be manufacturer
  • Use third-party verification services (example: AsiaInspection, V-Trust)

For U.S. suppliers:
  • Verify business registration via state Secretary of State database
  • Check Better Business Bureau (BBB) profile
  • Search for legal judgments or liens
  • Verify physical address via Google Street View or property records

For EU suppliers:
  • Check VAT registration via VIES VAT number validation
  • Verify company registration via national registries (Companies House in UK, Handelsregister in Germany)

Step 3: Contact verification
  • Call the supplier directly using publicly listed phone number (not number provided by merchant)
  • Confirm they have a business relationship with the merchant
  • Ask about order volume and payment history
  • Inquire about delivery times and quality issues

Step 4: Physical verification (for high-risk cases)
  • Commission third-party inspection of supplier facility
  • Verify inventory exists and matches merchant's product listings
  • Assess production or warehousing capacity
  • Evaluate quality control processes

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Adequate supplier verification

Merchant provides:

  • Supplier name: "Shenzhen TechParts Manufacturing Co., Ltd."
  • Business registration number: 91440300XXXXXXXXXX
  • Address: Unit 5, Building B, Industrial Park, Baoan District, Shenzhen, China
  • Invoices showing $15,000 in monthly purchases over past 6 months
  • Supplier website: www.example-techparts.com (domain age: 8 years)
  • Product catalog matching merchant's listings

We verify:

  • Business registration confirmed via Chinese government database
  • Supplier listed on Alibaba with Gold Supplier status (3+ years)
  • Supplier has 200+ positive reviews on Alibaba
  • Phone number listed on website is answered by company representative
  • Representative confirms business relationship with merchant
  • Google Street View shows industrial facility at listed address

Assessment: Low risk. Supplier is established, verifiable, and confirms relationship.

Example B: Inadequate supplier verification

Merchant provides:

  • Supplier name: "Global Electronics Network"
  • Address: "Kowloon, Hong Kong" (no specific street address)
  • States "we work with multiple suppliers, this is our main one"
  • Provides single invoice from last month only
  • Supplier has no website or online presence
  • Cannot provide supplier contact information, states "we communicate via WeChat"

We verify:

  • Cannot locate business registration for "Global Electronics Network" in Hong Kong
  • Name is generic and yields no search results
  • No presence on B2B platforms
  • Provided address is non-specific (Kowloon is a large district)

Assessment: High risk. Supplier identity cannot be verified. Merchant may be using a middleman or agent, sourcing from multiple unknown sources, fabricating supplier information, or planning to fulfill orders without secured supply.

Red Flags: Supplier Verification

Immediate decline indicators:

  • Merchant refuses to disclose supplier identity when directly asked
  • Claims supplier information is "confidential" or "proprietary" without legitimate reason
  • Provides obviously fake supplier details (non-existent company, impossible address)
  • Supplier cannot be contacted or does not acknowledge relationship
  • Multiple merchants using same "supplier" that shows signs of being a shell company

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Supplier is located in high-risk jurisdiction
  • Supplier has been in business less than 1 year
  • Merchant-supplier relationship is less than 3 months old
  • Purchase order volume is inconsistent or shows single large order (not ongoing relationship)
  • Supplier specializes in goods commonly associated with fraud (luxury goods, electronics with high resale value)
  • Supplier has negative reviews or complaints about quality or delivery

Special Cases: Multi-Supplier and Aggregator Models

Some dropshipping merchants work with multiple suppliers or use dropshipping aggregation platforms (examples: Oberlo, DSers, Spocket, CJ Dropshipping).

Verification approach:

  • Request list of all suppliers used in past 90 days
  • Verify top 3 suppliers by volume (following same verification process)
  • If using aggregation platform, verify:
  • Platform provider identity and legitimacy
  • Merchant's account status on platform
  • Platform's supplier vetting procedures
  • How platform handles disputes and quality issues

Aggregation platform verification for merchants using platforms like Oberlo or CJ Dropshipping:

  • Confirm platform integration (request screenshots or API documentation)
  • Verify merchant account is active and in good standing
  • Understand platform's supplier vetting process
  • Review platform's policies on order fulfillment, tracking, and disputes
  • Note that platform is an intermediary, not the actual supplier

Risk assessment:

  • Aggregation platforms provide some operational oversight but merchant still lacks direct supplier relationship
  • Platform failure or policy changes can disrupt merchant's entire operation
  • Quality control is still limited
  • Consider as moderate risk, require ongoing monitoring

Shipping Times and Delivery Promise Verification

Why It Matters

Misrepresented delivery times are a primary driver of item-not-received (INR) chargebacks in dropshipping. Merchants who promise 5 to 10 business day delivery but source from overseas suppliers using standard international shipping (14 to 30 days) create a structural mismatch between customer expectations and reality.

Regulatory compliance:

The FTC Mail Order Rule requires merchants to:

  • Have a reasonable basis for stated delivery times
  • Ship within the stated time or within 30 days if no time is stated
  • Notify customers promptly if unable to ship as promised
  • Offer option to cancel with full refund if delayed

Violations can result in FTC enforcement actions and fines, state attorney general consumer protection actions, private lawsuits under state consumer protection statutes, and payment processor termination.

What We Look For

Website policy consistency:

  • Shipping policy page with clear delivery timeframes
  • Product page delivery estimates (do they match shipping policy?)
  • Checkout flow delivery messaging (what does customer see at payment?)
  • FAQ or customer service pages addressing shipping
  • Any countdown timers or urgency messaging (are they misleading?)

Delivery timeframe realism:

  • Stated timeframes align with supplier location and shipping method
  • Differentiation between processing time and shipping time
  • Buffer for holidays, weekends, customs clearance
  • Communication about potential delays

Shipping method documentation:

  • What carriers are used (USPS, DHL, ePacket, China Post, etc.)
  • What service levels (express, standard, economy)
  • Tracking availability and timing
  • Insurance and signature requirements

Historical performance data (if available):

  • Average actual delivery time by destination
  • Percentage of orders delivered within promised timeframe
  • Delayed order rate and reasons for delays
  • Customer complaints about delivery

Verification Process

Step 1: Website audit

Manually review merchant's website to document all delivery-related representations:

Shipping policy page:

  • Screenshot the full policy
  • Note stated timeframes for each shipping method or destination
  • Identify any disclaimers or exceptions
  • Check if origin location is disclosed

Product pages:

  • Check 10 to 15 random products for delivery estimates
  • Note any variance in stated times across products
  • Look for urgency tactics ("Order in next 2 hours for delivery by Friday")
  • Screenshot any delivery promises

Checkout flow:

  • Place test order (do not complete payment) to see checkout experience
  • Document shipping options and stated delivery times
  • Check if estimated delivery date is provided
  • Note any automatic selection of shipping method

Marketing materials:

  • Review email campaigns, ads, social media for delivery claims
  • Check if advertising promises differ from website policies
  • Look for "fast shipping" or "quick delivery" claims

Step 2: Supplier shipping capability analysis

Cross-reference merchant's promised delivery times with supplier's location and typical shipping times:

Supplier location to destination shipping times:

China

U.S. (East Coast)

ePacket

10-20 business days

China

U.S. (West Coast)

ePacket

7-15 business days

China

U.S.

Standard Air Mail

15-30 business days

China

EU

Standard

20-40 business days

China

EU

Express

5-10 business days

U.S. (domestic)

U.S.

USPS Priority

2-3 business days

U.S. (domestic)

U.S.

USPS Ground

2-8 business days

Reality check calculation:

If merchant promises: "Delivery in 10 to 14 business days" And supplier is located in: Shenzhen, China And shipping method is: ePacket to U.S. East Coast (typical range: 10 to 20 days) And processing time is: 2 to 3 days before shipment

Total realistic timeframe: 12 to 23 business days Merchant's promise: 10 to 14 business days

Assessment: Merchant's promise is optimistic and will likely be missed on a significant portion of orders, leading to customer dissatisfaction and disputes.

Step 3: Historical delivery data analysis

For merchants with operating history, request delivery performance report (past 90 days):

  • Total orders shipped
  • Average delivery time by destination region
  • Percentage delivered within promised timeframe
  • Delayed shipments (defined as exceeding promise by 5+ days)
  • Customer complaints about delivery
  • Chargeback rate for INR disputes

Tracking data sample:

  • Request 20 to 30 recent tracking numbers
  • Independently verify using carrier tracking websites
  • Calculate actual delivery times from order date to delivered date
  • Compare to merchant's stated timeframes

What good looks like:

  • 85%+ of orders delivered within stated timeframe
  • Average delivery time is at midpoint or better of stated range
  • Tracking shows consistent patterns (not wildly variable)
  • Few customer complaints about unexpected delays

Red flags:

  • Less than 70% delivered within stated timeframe
  • Average delivery time exceeds stated range
  • Orders show 30+ day delivery when 15 days was promised
  • Tracking numbers are invalid, delayed, or show unusual patterns

Step 4: Test orders (for new merchants)

When merchant lacks historical data, consider commissioning test orders:

Test order protocol:

  • Order 2 to 3 products to different U.S. regions
  • Use genuine residential addresses
  • Track elapsed time from order to delivery
  • Document all customer communications received
  • Verify tracking information accuracy
  • Assess packaging quality and product condition

Cost: $100 to $300 for sample orders Value: Direct evidence of operational capability Timeline: Must wait full delivery cycle (15 to 30+ days) before making underwriting decision

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Realistic and transparent delivery promises

Website states:

  • Shipping policy page: "Orders ship from our partner warehouse in Asia within 2 to 3 business days. Delivery to U.S. addresses typically takes 18 to 25 business days via standard international mail. Express shipping (5 to 10 business days) available for additional fee. You will receive tracking information within 3 business days of your order."
  • Product pages display: "Ships from Asia: 18-25 day delivery"
  • Checkout shows estimated delivery date range based on current date + 20 to 28 days

Supplier capabilities:

  • Located in Guangzhou, China
  • Uses China Post and ePacket for standard shipments
  • Offers DHL express upgrade
  • Provides tracking numbers within 48 hours

Historical performance:

  • Past 90 days: 88% delivered within 25 business days
  • Average delivery time: 21 business days to U.S.
  • Customer complaints: 2% of orders
  • INR chargeback rate: 0.4%

Assessment: Low risk. Delivery promises are realistic, transparent, and supported by historical performance.

Example B: Misleading delivery promises

Website states:

  • Shipping policy page: "Standard shipping 15-30 business days"
  • Product pages display: "Fast Shipping Available!" with countdown timer "Order in next 4 hours for quick delivery"
  • Checkout shows: "Standard Shipping (3-5 business days)" in dropdown (copied from template, not updated)
  • Marketing emails: "Get it fast! Order now for delivery this week"

Supplier capabilities:

  • Located in Shenzhen, China
  • Uses standard China Post (20 to 40 day typical delivery)
  • No express option available
  • Tracking is delayed by 7 to 10 days

Actual performance (merchant refuses to provide data, but review sites checked):

  • Trustpilot reviews show complaints: "ordered 3 weeks ago, still not here"
  • Reddit mentions: "took 6 weeks to arrive"
  • BBB complaints: "promised 2 weeks, took over a month"

Assessment: High risk. Delivery promises are inconsistent across touchpoints, misleading at checkout, and not supported by supplier capabilities or customer experience reports.

Red Flags: Delivery Promises

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • Promises domestic U.S. delivery times (2 to 5 days) when supplier is in Asia
  • Uses countdown timers implying immediate shipment but processes orders days later
  • Checkout shows incorrect shipping times that contradict shipping policy
  • Refuses to disclose shipping origin or methods
  • Marketing explicitly claims "ships from U.S." when it does not
  • Has regulatory warning letters or consumer protection actions for delivery misrepresentation

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Stated times are at the optimistic edge of possible (example: "7 to 10 days" for China to U.S.)
  • No distinction between processing time and shipping time
  • Vague language like "ships soon" or "fast delivery" without specifics
  • Different promises on different parts of website
  • Customer reviews mention unexpected long delivery

Policy Language Best Practices

We recommend risk teams look for this level of clarity:

Good policy example:

"Our products ship directly from our manufacturing partner in Shenzhen, China. Orders are typically processed and handed to the carrier within 2-3 business days. Shipping to the United States takes 18-25 business days via standard international mail service (China Post/ePacket). Express shipping (5-10 business days via DHL) is available for an additional $15. Tracking information will be emailed within 3 business days of your order and can take 5-7 days to show movement. Delivery times do not include weekends, holidays, or customs clearance delays. International orders may be subject to customs duties which are the customer's responsibility."

This policy discloses shipping origin, separates processing time from shipping time, provides realistic timeframe ranges, explains tracking delays, sets expectations for customs, and offers express alternative.

Returns Process and Policy Verification

Why It Matters

Returns are where dropshipping operations break down. If the merchant has no physical location and the supplier is overseas, processing a return becomes logistically complex and expensive for both merchant and customer. International return shipping can cost $30 to $80, exceeding the product's value in some cases. Merchants who cannot handle returns efficiently default to refund denials or ignore return requests, which leads to chargebacks and negative reviews.

Consumer protection regulators view return policies as a critical consumer right. The European Consumer Rights Directive mandates a minimum 14-day withdrawal right for distance sales. While U.S. federal law does not mandate returns for non-defective goods, card network rules effectively require reasonable return policies.

What We Look For

Published return policy:

  • Clear return window (example: "30 days from delivery")
  • Conditions for returns (unused, original packaging, tags attached, etc.)
  • Return shipping responsibility (who pays?)
  • Return address provided (domestic or international?)
  • Refund processing timeline (example: "within 5 business days of receiving return")
  • Restocking fees or return shipping deductions (if any)
  • Exceptions (final sale items, personalized products, etc.)

Return logistics capability:

  • Return shipping address (P.O. Box, residential, warehouse, or freight forwarder?)
  • Return processing facility and staff
  • Inspection and restocking procedures
  • Inventory disposition (resell, return to supplier, dispose?)
  • Return fraud prevention measures

Historical return data:

  • Return rate (percentage of orders)
  • Reasons for returns (defective, wrong item, customer changed mind, etc.)
  • Return processing time (days from return shipment to refund issued)
  • Return denial rate and reasons
  • Chargeback rate among customers whose returns were denied

Refund processing:

  • Method of refund (original payment method, store credit, other)
  • Timeframe for refund posting
  • Communication with customer during return process
  • Partial refunds (restocking fees, shipping deductions)

Verification Process

Step 1: Policy documentation review

Return policy content analysis:

  • Screenshot merchant's published return policy from website
  • Verify return policy is easily accessible (linked in footer, FAQ, product pages)
  • Check if policy is clear and specific (not vague like "returns accepted at our discretion")
  • Identify return window (30 days is industry standard)
  • Note return shipping cost allocation
  • Verify return address is provided

Comparison to industry standards:

Return window

30-60 days

14-30 days

<14 days or "no returns"

Return shipping cost

Merchant pays or free labels

Customer pays (reasonable)

Customer pays + restocking fee

Return address

Domestic (same country as customer)

International with clear instructions

No address provided or P.O. Box only

Refund timeline

3-5 business days after receipt

5-10 business days

>10 days or "up to 30 days"

Condition requirements

Reasonable (unused, tags attached)

Strict but clear

Vague or impossible

Restocking fee

None

$5-10 or <15%

>15% or variable

Step 2: Return address verification

The return address is critical for assessing operational control.

Address types and risk assessment:

Domestic warehouse or 3PL (Low Risk):

  • Address is a warehouse, distribution center, or third-party logistics provider
  • Located in same country as majority of customers
  • Verifiable via Google Maps, Street View, or property records
  • Merchant can demonstrate relationship with facility (contract, invoices)

Example: "Returns: ABC Fulfillment Center, 123 Warehouse Lane, Suite 500, City, State ZIP"

Verification: Google search shows commercial warehouse facility. Call to confirm they handle returns for merchant.

Residential address (Medium Risk):

  • Address is merchant owner's home or apartment
  • Common for small, early-stage dropshippers
  • Indicates lack of professional fulfillment infrastructure
  • May be acceptable if volume is low and merchant is transparent

Example: "Returns: 456 Main Street, Apartment 2B, City, State ZIP"

Verification: Property records show residential property. Merchant confirms they process returns at home.

Risk mitigation: Acceptable for merchants with <$50K monthly volume and clear growth plan to transition to professional returns facility.

International return address (High Risk):

  • Return address is in different country than customer
  • Returns go back to supplier (example: returns to China)
  • Return shipping cost is prohibitive ($40 to $80 from U.S. to China)
  • Customs forms required, long return shipping times
  • Creates economic barrier to returns

Example: "Returns: Supplier Name, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China 518000"

Assessment: High risk. Most customers will not pay $60 to return a $30 item. Merchant is effectively discouraging returns through prohibitive logistics. Expect elevated chargeback rate when customers realize return is impractical.

P.O. Box or mail forwarding service (High Risk):

  • P.O. Box, PMB (Private Mail Box), or commercial mail receiving agency
  • No physical facility to receive and process returns
  • May indicate merchant does not actually process returns
  • Used by transient operations

Example: "Returns: P.O. Box 789, City, State ZIP" or "Returns: c/o Mail Center Plus #456"

Assessment: High risk. Request explanation of how returns are physically processed. If merchant admits returns are forwarded back to supplier overseas, same concerns as international returns apply.

No address provided (Critical Risk):

  • Return policy exists but provides no address
  • States "contact customer service for return authorization" without further detail
  • Creates obstacle to exercising return right

Assessment: Likely decline. Indicates merchant is avoiding or discouraging returns.

Step 3: Return processing verification

For merchants with operating history, request documentation of actual return handling:

Return activity report (past 90 days):

  • Total orders
  • Number of return requests
  • Return rate (returns divided by total orders)
  • Return reasons (defective, wrong item, changed mind, sizing, quality concerns)
  • Returns approved vs. denied
  • Average refund processing time (from return received to refund issued)
  • Return fraud incidents (empty boxes, wrong items returned, etc.)

Sample return case files:

  • Request 5 to 10 recent return cases
  • Review customer communication (email threads)
  • Verify merchant provided return instructions and address
  • Check refund was issued and timeline
  • Assess customer service quality

What good looks like:

  • Return rate: 5% to 15% (typical for e-commerce)
  • Most returns approved (>90% approval rate)
  • Return instructions provided within 24 hours of request
  • Refunds issued within 5 business days of receiving returned item
  • Clear communication throughout process
  • Return fraud detection without excessive denial of legitimate returns

Red flags:

  • Return rate >20% (may indicate quality issues or misrepresentation)
  • Return rate <2% with no returns infrastructure (suggests returns are being denied or discouraged)
  • High denial rate (>20% of returns denied)
  • Refund processing time >10 business days
  • Customer complaints about difficulty returning items
  • No evidence of actual returns being received and processed

Step 4: Customer experience verification

Check third-party sources for customer return experiences:

Review site analysis:

  • Trustpilot, Better Business Bureau, Google Reviews, Reddit
  • Search for mentions of returns, refunds, customer service
  • Note complaints about return difficulties
  • Look for patterns: "wouldn't accept my return", "made it impossible to return", "charged huge return shipping"

Social media monitoring:

  • Search merchant name + "return" on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram
  • Check merchant's own social media for customer service interactions
  • Note responsiveness to return inquiries

Chargeback data:

  • If merchant has processing history, review chargeback reason codes
  • High rate of "product not as described" or "customer dispute" chargebacks suggests return process failures
  • Customers who cannot return successfully will file chargebacks

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Professional returns handling

Return policy states:

  • "We accept returns within 30 days of delivery for any reason. To initiate a return, email support@merchant.com with your order number. We will provide a prepaid return label within 24 hours. Refunds are issued to the original payment method within 3-5 business days of our receiving the returned item. Items must be unused and in original packaging with all tags attached."

Return address:

  • Domestic U.S. 3PL facility: "Returns Processing, ShipBob Warehouse, 1234 Logistics Parkway, City, State ZIP"

Verification:

  • 3PL relationship confirmed (merchant provides contract with ShipBob)
  • Past 90 days: 120 returns out of 1,000 orders (12% return rate)
  • Average refund processing: 4 days from return receipt
  • Customer reviews mention easy return process: "returned with no hassle"
  • Zero BBB complaints about returns

Assessment: Low risk. Professional returns infrastructure, reasonable policies, and positive customer feedback.

Example B: Inadequate returns handling

Return policy states:

  • "All sales are final. Returns are only accepted for defective items within 14 days. Customer must pay return shipping to our facility in China. Refunds take 20-30 days to process. Restocking fee of 20% applies."

Return address:

  • International: "Returns: [Supplier Name], Shenzhen, China" (address in Chinese characters)

Verification:

  • Merchant provides no return data, claims "very few returns"
  • Customer reviews show complaints: "wouldn't let me return", "said I had to ship to China at my cost"
  • BBB has 15 complaints about refused returns and no refunds
  • Chargeback data (if available from previous processor): 2.8% chargeback rate, majority are "product not as described"

Assessment: High risk. Return policy is consumer-unfriendly and creates barriers. International return address makes returns economically impractical. Customer complaints confirm return issues drive chargebacks.

Red Flags: Returns Process

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • "All sales final" or "no returns" policy for non-defective goods
  • Return address is offshore with no domestic alternative
  • No return address provided at all
  • Return policy buried or difficult to find on website
  • Merchant has regulatory warnings or consumer protection actions related to returns

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Return window <14 days
  • Customer must pay return shipping to international address
  • Restocking fees >15%
  • Vague conditions ("returns at our discretion", "items must be in perfect condition")
  • Return refund processing time >10 business days
  • Pattern of customer complaints about return difficulties
  • High chargeback rate with SNAD (significantly not as described) reason codes

Customer Support Capacity Verification

Why It Matters

Dropshipping introduces longer delivery times, variability in product quality, and complex fulfillment chains. Without responsive and capable customer support, minor issues escalate to chargebacks. We see this pattern repeatedly: merchant has a functional website and processes payments smoothly, but when customers have questions about delivery, product issues, or returns, they encounter no phone number, email auto-replies, 48+ hour response delays, or generic responses that do not address their concerns. Frustrated customers file chargebacks as the only recourse.

Card networks and payment processors evaluate merchants based partially on customer service quality. Acquirers may require specific support standards (example: phone support during business hours, <24 hour email response time) as a condition of approval.

What We Look For

Contact methods available:

  • Email address (monitored regularly?)
  • Phone number (answered during stated hours?)
  • Live chat (real-time or delayed?)
  • Contact form (response time?)
  • Social media responsiveness (Twitter, Facebook, Instagram)
  • Helpdesk or ticketing system

Support availability:

  • Hours of operation (24/7, business hours, limited hours?)
  • Time zones covered
  • Holiday and weekend support
  • Response time commitments (example: "we respond within 24 hours")

Support staffing and infrastructure:

  • Number of support staff
  • In-house vs. outsourced
  • Staff training and knowledge base
  • Escalation procedures for complex issues
  • Multilingual support (if serving international customers)

Support performance metrics:

  • Average first response time
  • Average resolution time
  • Ticket volume and trends
  • Customer satisfaction scores (if measured)
  • Percentage of tickets resolved on first contact

Verification Process

Step 1: Contact method audit

Website review:

  • List all customer contact methods displayed on website
  • Check visibility (footer, header navigation, dedicated "Contact Us" page)
  • Note if contact information is hidden or difficult to find
  • Verify phone number is not a VoIP or international forwarding number
  • Check email domain matches merchant website (not generic Gmail or Yahoo)

Contact method testing:

Email test:

  • Send inquiry via provided email address
  • Time the response
  • Assess response quality (generic template vs. specific answer)

Phone test (if provided):

  • Call during stated business hours
  • Note if answered live or voicemail
  • If live answered, assess representative's knowledge and professionalism
  • If voicemail, time callback response

Chat test (if available):

  • Initiate chat session
  • Determine if bot or human
  • Test with complex question requiring product knowledge
  • Assess response time and quality

Contact form test:

  • Submit inquiry via website contact form
  • Time the response
  • Verify response comes from stated email address

Step 2: Support infrastructure documentation

For merchants with established operations, request:

Support staffing information:

  • Number of full-time and part-time support staff
  • Support staff location(s) (in-house, outsourced, offshore)
  • Training program documentation
  • Staff turnover rate
  • Support schedule and coverage

Support system documentation:

  • Helpdesk or CRM system used (Zendesk, Gorgias, Freshdesk, etc.)
  • Knowledge base or FAQ resources
  • Support email templates and response procedures
  • Escalation procedures for complex issues
  • Integration with order management system

Service level agreements (SLAs):

  • Stated response time goals
  • Resolution time goals
  • How performance is measured
  • Consequences if SLAs are not met

Step 3: Historical support performance review

For merchants with operating history:

Support metrics report (past 90 days):

  • Total tickets received
  • Average first response time
  • Average resolution time
  • Ticket volume by category (delivery inquiry, product question, return request, complaint, etc.)
  • Customer satisfaction scores (if measured via post-ticket survey)
  • Escalated tickets (requiring manager or specialized handling)

Sample ticket review:

  • Request sanitized examples of 10 to 15 recent tickets
  • Review merchant's responses for quality and helpfulness
  • Assess if issues were resolved or customer was dismissed
  • Check response time for each ticket
  • Evaluate tone and professionalism

What good looks like:

  • Average first response time: <24 hours for email, <1 hour for chat
  • Average resolution time: 2 to 3 days for most issues
  • High first-contact resolution rate (>60%)
  • Customer satisfaction score >80% (if measured)
  • Evidence of proactive support (following up on delayed orders, checking customer satisfaction)

Red flags:

  • Average first response time >48 hours
  • Generic responses that do not address customer's specific question
  • High volume of repeat contacts (customer has to contact multiple times for same issue)
  • Evidence of dismissive or defensive responses
  • No resolution for common issues (customer told to "wait" without specific timeline)

Step 4: External reputation monitoring

Check third-party sources for customer service experiences:

Review sites and forums:

  • Trustpilot, Better Business Bureau, Google Reviews, Sitejabber
  • Search for mentions of customer service, support, "can't reach them", "no response"
  • Calculate percentage of reviews mentioning support issues
  • Note recent trends (getting better or worse?)

Social media monitoring:

  • Check merchant's social media accounts for unanswered customer inquiries
  • Look for complaints about unresponsive support
  • Assess merchant's public response to complaints (do they engage or ignore?)

Chargeback data analysis:

  • Review chargeback reason codes for "merchant dispute" or "service not rendered"
  • High rates of these chargebacks suggest customers cannot resolve issues through support

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Responsive professional support

Contact methods:

  • Email: support@merchant.com (monitored 24/7)
  • Phone: 1-800-XXX-XXXX (answered 9am-7pm EST Mon-Fri)
  • Live chat: Real-time chat 9am-9pm EST daily
  • Social media: Active responses on Twitter and Facebook

Support system:

  • Uses Gorgias helpdesk integrated with Shopify
  • 3 full-time support staff + 1 part-time
  • Internal knowledge base with 50+ articles
  • SLA: <12 hours first response, <48 hours resolution

Performance (past 90 days):

  • 450 tickets received
  • Average first response: 8 hours
  • Average resolution: 2.1 days
  • Customer satisfaction: 87% positive ratings
  • Sample tickets show helpful, specific responses

External reputation:

  • Trustpilot 4.2/5 stars
  • Several reviews specifically praise customer service: "replied within hours", "very helpful"
  • Few complaints about responsiveness

Assessment: Low risk. Professional support infrastructure with good performance metrics and positive customer feedback.

Example B: Inadequate support

Contact methods:

  • Email: info@merchant.com (generic address)
  • Contact form only (no phone or chat)
  • Social media accounts exist but show no recent activity

Support system:

  • Merchant states "I handle all emails myself"
  • No helpdesk system
  • No stated response time commitment

Performance:

  • Merchant cannot provide support metrics ("I respond to everyone")
  • When pressed, admits email volume is "overwhelming"
  • Test email sent Monday at 10am, received response Friday at 3pm (5 days)
  • Response is generic: "Thank you for contacting us, your order is being processed"

External reputation:

  • BBB rating: F, with 20 complaints about non-responsive customer service
  • Trustpilot 2.1/5 stars
  • Reviews state: "impossible to reach", "never answer emails", "no phone number"
  • Reddit thread warning others about this merchant

Chargeback data:

  • Previous processor terminated merchant for >2% chargeback rate
  • Majority of chargebacks were "merchant dispute" where customer claimed they tried to contact merchant but received no response

Assessment: High risk. Inadequate support infrastructure and documented history of unresponsiveness. Chargebacks are direct result of support failures.

Red Flags: Customer Support

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • No phone number or contact method except generic email or form
  • Email goes unanswered for 5+ days
  • Phone number is disconnected or rings without answer
  • Merchant has BBB complaints or negative reviews specifically about support
  • Previous processing history shows chargebacks driven by support failures

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Support email is personal email account (Gmail, Yahoo) not company domain
  • No live support during business hours
  • Support is entirely outsourced to offshore provider with language barriers
  • Merchant admits support is "just me" but projects high processing volume
  • Response time commitments are vague ("we try to respond quickly")
  • No support system or ticket tracking
  • High volume of customer complaints about responsiveness in reviews

Inventory Visibility and Availability Control

Why It Matters

If the merchant lists products they cannot reliably source, they will collect payment and then experience long delays, order cancellations, or need to source from alternative suppliers at higher cost. Order cancellations after payment create customer friction, refund requests, and chargeback risk. Even when refunds are processed promptly, cancellations damage merchant reputation and customer lifetime value.

Real-time or near-real-time inventory visibility is a key indicator of operational maturity and supplier relationship quality. Merchants with inventory sync systems demonstrate they have structured integrations with suppliers and take availability seriously.

What We Look For

Inventory management system:

  • What system does merchant use to track product availability?
  • How does inventory data flow from supplier to merchant's website?
  • What is the sync frequency (real-time, hourly, daily, manual)?

Stockout handling procedures:

  • How are out-of-stock items displayed on website?
  • Are backorders accepted? How are they communicated?
  • What happens when customer orders unavailable item?

Product sourcing backup:

  • Does merchant have alternative suppliers for key products?
  • What is the plan if primary supplier is out of stock?
  • How quickly can merchant source from alternatives?

Historical availability performance:

  • Order cancellation rate due to stockouts
  • Average time from discovering stockout to notifying customer
  • Percentage of products listed that are actually available
  • Customer complaints about canceled orders

Verification Process

Step 1: Inventory system documentation

Website platform and inventory integration:

For merchants using e-commerce platforms:

Shopify:

  • Check if inventory tracking is enabled
  • Verify integration with supplier or dropshipping app (Oberlo, DSers, Spocket, CJ Dropshipping)
  • Review sync settings and frequency
  • Verify inventory levels are actually synced (not all set to "999")

WooCommerce:

  • Check inventory management settings
  • Verify product import method
  • Review inventory sync process

Custom or standalone site:

  • Request technical documentation of inventory management
  • API integration with supplier (if any)
  • Database schema showing inventory tracking

Request from merchant:

  • Screenshots or documentation of inventory sync configuration
  • Sync frequency (real-time, hourly, daily, weekly, manual)
  • What happens if sync fails? (alerts, fallback procedures)
  • How stockouts are handled (product hidden, marked "out of stock", backorder option)

For aggregation platform users (Oberlo, DSers, etc.):

  • Verify merchant's account status on platform
  • Review platform's inventory sync capabilities
  • Understand platform's supplier vetting and reliability
  • Check if platform guarantees inventory accuracy

Step 2: Stockout management verification

Website testing:

  • Browse merchant's product listings
  • Check inventory status indicators (if shown)
  • Look for "out of stock" or "backorder" labels
  • Note if inventory quantities are displayed
  • Attempt to add unavailable item to cart (is it prevented?)

Stockout policy review:

  • Request merchant's written stockout handling procedures
  • How quickly are customers notified?
  • Are refunds processed immediately?
  • Alternative product suggestions offered?
  • Compensation for inconvenience (discount on future order)?

What good looks like:

  • Product availability syncs at least daily (hourly or real-time preferred)
  • Out-of-stock items are clearly marked or hidden from search results
  • Customers cannot checkout with unavailable items
  • If stockout discovered after order, customer is notified within 24 hours
  • Full refund processed immediately
  • Apology and perhaps discount offered

Red flags:

  • Inventory quantities all show "999" or "100" (fake availability)
  • No inventory tracking system
  • Manual process: "I check with supplier after receiving order"
  • Products remain listed long after supplier discontinued them
  • No clear stockout handling policy

Step 3: Historical cancellation data review

For merchants with operating history:

Order cancellation report (past 90 days):

  • Total orders
  • Orders canceled due to stockout or unavailability
  • Cancellation rate (cancellations divided by total orders)
  • Average time from order to cancellation notification
  • Refund processing time for canceled orders
  • Customer complaints or negative reviews related to cancellations

Industry benchmarks:

  • Excellent: <2% cancellation rate
  • Acceptable: 2% to 5%
  • Concerning: 5% to 10%
  • High risk: >10%

Cancellation rate analysis:

If cancellation rate is high, investigate:

  • Is it concentrated in specific products? (supplier reliability issue)
  • Is it seasonal? (holiday inventory strain)
  • Is it trending up or down? (improving or deteriorating)
  • How long until customer is notified? (<24 hours is acceptable)

Step 4: Supplier inventory verification

For direct supplier relationships:

  • Request supplier's inventory list or stock levels for key products
  • Cross-reference with merchant's website listings
  • Verify merchant is not listing products supplier doesn't carry
  • Check if supplier has minimum order quantities that might create availability issues

For platform or aggregator users:

  • Understand platform's inventory accuracy
  • Check if platform has reputation for stockout issues
  • Review platform's seller or supplier ratings

Test order scenario:

Consider placing test order for 2 to 3 products to verify:

  • Order is confirmed promptly
  • Order is not canceled due to stockout
  • Tracking is provided within stated time
  • Products are actually shipped

Cost: $50-$150 for test orders Value: Direct evidence of inventory management effectiveness

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Professional inventory management

System:

  • Merchant uses Shopify with DSers integration
  • Inventory syncs every 24 hours from AliExpress supplier accounts
  • Merchant has 150 products listed
  • All products show accurate stock levels (not generic "999")
  • Out-of-stock items are automatically hidden from catalog

Procedures:

  • Written stockout policy: "If item becomes unavailable after order, customer is notified within 12 hours via email and full refund is issued immediately"
  • Merchant has backup suppliers for top 20 best-selling products

Performance (past 90 days):

  • 850 orders
  • 18 orders canceled due to stockout (2.1% cancellation rate)
  • Average notification time: 8 hours
  • All refunds processed within 24 hours
  • Customer reviews mention 2 cancellations but praise fast refund

Assessment: Low risk. Professional inventory management with low cancellation rate and customer-friendly handling of stockouts.

Example B: Inadequate inventory management

System:

  • Merchant uses WooCommerce
  • "Inventory is updated manually every few weeks"
  • All products show "In stock" regardless of actual availability
  • Merchant states "I check with supplier after customer orders"

Procedures:

  • No written stockout policy
  • Merchant admits "sometimes it takes a few days to find out if supplier has it"
  • If unavailable, merchant tries to find alternative supplier, causing delays

Performance:

  • Merchant refuses to provide cancellation data
  • BBB complaints include: "ordered weeks ago, finally told item not available", "paid for product, then told they don't have it"
  • Trustpilot reviews: "canceled my order after 10 days", "never received order and took forever to get refund"
  • Test order commissioned: Order placed Monday, no shipment by Friday, inquiry sent, response Monday: "sorry, that item is not available, refund will process in 5-7 days"

Assessment: High risk. No inventory management system. High likelihood of cancellations and customer frustration. Order-to-cancellation delays create negative experience even when refunds are issued.

Red Flags: Inventory Management

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • No inventory management system
  • Merchant checks availability only after customer orders
  • High cancellation rate (>10%)
  • Long delays (>48 hours) to notify customers of stockouts
  • Pattern of customer complaints about canceled orders

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Manual inventory updates (not automated sync)
  • All products show generic availability ("In stock", "Available")
  • Large product catalog (>500 products) with questionable sourcing capability
  • Merchant cannot explain inventory sync process
  • New merchant with no track record, listing hundreds of products
  • Products appear to be scraped from other sites or marketplaces

What Good Looks Like: Operational Control and Transparency

A well-run dropshipping operation demonstrates operational control through documentation, systems, and performance. We look for evidence, not promises.

Documentation Completeness

At application, merchant provides:

Supplier verification package:

  • Supplier legal name and registration details
  • Supplier contact information (verified independently)
  • Supplier agreement or purchase orders (3-6 months)
  • Supplier capability documentation (product catalog, shipping methods)
  • Evidence of established relationship (payment history, communication records)

Policy documentation:

  • Shipping policy (clear delivery timeframes aligned with supplier location)
  • Return policy (30+ day window, domestic return address preferred)
  • Refund policy (processing timeline and methods)
  • Terms of service (comprehensive and specific)
  • Privacy policy (GDPR or CCPA compliant if applicable)

Operations documentation:

  • Inventory management system description and sync frequency
  • Customer support procedures and staffing
  • Order fulfillment workflow (from order to delivery)
  • Return processing workflow
  • Stockout handling procedures

Financial documentation:

  • Business bank statements (segregated business account)
  • Supplier payment history
  • Business tax returns or financial statements (if established)
  • Funding sources and runway (for new merchants)

Performance Transparency

For merchants with operating history, providing:

Delivery performance:

  • Average delivery time by destination region
  • Percentage delivered within promised timeframe (>85% goal)
  • Tracking provision rate and timing
  • Customer complaints about delivery (<2%)

Return and refund performance:

  • Return rate (5-15% typical for e-commerce)
  • Return approval rate (>90% for legitimate returns)
  • Average refund processing time (<5 days)
  • Return fraud detection and prevention

Customer service performance:

  • Average first response time (<24 hours)
  • Average resolution time (<3 days)
  • Ticket volume and trends
  • Customer satisfaction scores (>80%)

Order fulfillment performance:

  • Order cancellation rate (<3%)
  • Stockout notification timing (<24 hours)
  • Out-of-stock product handling

System Integration and Automation

Technology indicators of operational maturity:

E-commerce platform:

  • Professional platform (Shopify, WooCommerce, BigCommerce, custom)
  • Not: single-page website or sketchy platform

Payment integration:

  • Checkout is native or well-integrated (Stripe, PayPal, Authorize.Net)
  • Not: external payment pages or manual payment collection

Inventory management:

  • Automated sync with supplier or platform API
  • Not: manual spreadsheets or "I'll check when order comes in"

Customer support:

  • Helpdesk system (Zendesk, Gorgias, Freshdesk)
  • Not: personal Gmail inbox

Order management:

  • Integrated system tracking orders from placement to delivery
  • Not: manual order forwarding via email

Analytics and reporting:

  • Dashboard tracking key metrics (conversion rate, average order value, customer lifetime value)
  • Ability to pull reports on demand for underwriting or monitoring

External Validation

Review and reputation indicators:

Positive signals:

  • Trustpilot or Google Reviews score >3.5/5 with significant volume (50+ reviews)
  • Reviews mention specific products and genuine experiences
  • Mix of positive and some critical reviews (all 5-star is suspicious)
  • Merchant responds professionally to negative reviews

Negative signals:

  • Very low review scores (<2.5/5)
  • High percentage of 1-star reviews
  • Reviews mention delivery delays, poor quality, difficult returns, unresponsive support
  • Merchant does not respond to reviews or responds defensively
  • BBB complaints or regulatory warnings

Social proof:

  • Active social media presence (not just created last month)
  • Genuine engagement (comments, shares, user-generated content)
  • Influencer partnerships or mentions
  • Press coverage (if applicable)

Communication and Transparency

Merchant behavior during underwriting:

Good indicators:

  • Responds promptly to information requests
  • Provides comprehensive documentation without evasion
  • Transparent about business model and challenges
  • Realistic about growth and capabilities
  • Open to site visit or inspection if requested
  • Willing to implement improvements or additional controls if needed

Red flags:

  • Slow to respond or requires multiple follow-ups
  • Provides incomplete information
  • Evasive when asked about supplier or operations
  • Overly optimistic projections without supporting data
  • Defensive or dismissive when concerns are raised
  • Pressures for quick approval

Common Misses: What We See When Controls Are Weak

1. Inconsistent Policies Across Touchpoints

We see merchants with policy documentation that contradicts itself across different pages or customer journey stages.

Example scenario:

Shipping policy page: "Orders ship from our partner warehouse in Asia and typically arrive in 15 to 30 business days."

Product pages: Display "Fast Shipping" badge and countdown timer "Order in next 4 hours for fast delivery"

Checkout page: Shipping option dropdown shows "Standard Shipping (3-5 business days)" (copied from template, never updated)

Email marketing: "Get it fast! Order today and receive within a week!"

Impact:

Customer's expectation is set by the most optimistic representation they encounter. If checkout says "3-5 business days" but actual delivery takes 21 days, the customer bases their complaint on the checkout promise, even though the shipping policy page technically disclosed longer times.

The result: item-not-received chargebacks with reason code "product not received" because customer expected delivery within 5 days based on checkout experience.

Card network perspective:

When merchant representment includes conflicting policy screenshots, the chargeback may be upheld in favor of the cardholder because merchant failed to clearly communicate delivery expectations.

2. Fake or Misleading Tracking Practices

Some dropshipping merchants provide tracking numbers that are real but do not correspond to the customer's actual order or destination.

Common problematic practices:

Generic tracking numbers:

  • Merchant provides same tracking number to multiple customers
  • Tracking shows delivery, but to a different address
  • Customers never receive their packages

Partial shipment tracking:

  • Tracking number is for a small portion of order (one item when customer ordered three)
  • Customer sees "delivered" but received incomplete order

Brushing scheme tracking:

  • Merchant ships lightweight, low-value item to customer's address or nearby address in same postal code
  • Provides tracking number showing "delivered"
  • Customer never receives the actual ordered product
  • Merchant uses tracking as "proof" of delivery to fight chargebacks

Wrong carrier tracking:

  • Tracking number is valid but for different carrier than stated
  • Customer cannot track package with information provided
  • By the time customer realizes issue, chargeback timeframe is expiring

Why merchants do this:

Primarily to avoid item-not-received chargebacks. If merchant can show "proof of delivery" via tracking, some acquiring banks will rule in merchant's favor on INR disputes.

Why it's high-risk:

  • Payment networks have become aware of fake tracking schemes
  • Card network operating regulations increasingly scrutinize tracking accuracy
  • Systematic use of fake tracking can be considered fraud
  • Acquirers may be held liable if pattern emerges across multiple merchants

Our verification approach:

For merchants with processing history:

  • Request 20-30 recent tracking numbers
  • Independently verify via carrier websites
  • Cross-reference tracking delivery address with order shipping address
  • Calculate percentage of "delivered" tracking that actually matches customer address
  • Check for patterns: multiple orders with same tracking, tracking delivered to different city or state, delivery time impossibly fast or slow

Red flags:

  • Merchant unable to provide tracking numbers
  • Tracking numbers are invalid or not found in carrier systems
  • Delivery addresses on tracking don't match order addresses
  • Customer complaints: "tracking shows delivered but I never received it"

3. Unclear or Unresponsive Support Channels

Merchants may list customer support contact methods on their website but fail to actually monitor or respond to them in a reasonable timeframe.

Common patterns:

Email black hole:

  • Email address is provided but goes to unmonitored inbox
  • Auto-reply confirms receipt but no human ever follows up
  • Customer sends multiple emails over weeks with no response
  • Merchant claims "we respond to all emails" but evidence shows otherwise

Disconnected phone:

  • Phone number listed on website
  • Number is disconnected, or rings endlessly without answer or voicemail
  • If voicemail exists, it's full and won't accept messages
  • No callback provided even if message is left

Outsourced support with no training:

  • Customer support is outsourced to third-party call center
  • Support representatives have no information about merchant's specific products, policies, or order status
  • Generic responses: "Your order is being processed", "Please wait", "We will check and get back to you"
  • Issues are never escalated or resolved
  • Language barriers create additional friction

Social media inquiries ignored:

  • Customers try to reach merchant via Facebook, Instagram, Twitter
  • Messages are sent but never read or replied to
  • Merchant's social media accounts appear active (posting content) but customer service inquiries are ignored

Impact:

When customers cannot resolve issues through support channels, they escalate to their bank. We observe correlation between poor support responsiveness and elevated chargeback rates.

4. No Contingency for Supplier Failures

Dropshipping merchants are inherently vulnerable to supplier disruptions. Single-supplier dependence creates catastrophic risk when that supplier experiences issues.

Common supplier failure scenarios:

Production or inventory disruption:

  • Supplier runs out of stock on popular item
  • Factory shutdown due to holiday, inspection, or closure
  • Quality control issue requires production halt
  • Supplier goes out of business

Shipping disruption:

  • Carrier delays due to weather, strikes, capacity constraints
  • International shipping disruptions (pandemic lockdowns, port congestion)
  • Customs issues holding shipments

Supplier relationship breakdown:

  • Payment dispute between merchant and supplier
  • Supplier increases prices suddenly
  • Supplier stops accepting orders from merchant
  • Supplier begins selling directly to consumers, competing with merchant

Fraud or supplier misconduct:

  • Supplier accepts payment but fails to ship orders
  • Supplier ships wrong or inferior products
  • Supplier provides fake tracking numbers
  • Supplier disappears

Impact on merchant without contingency plan:

Scenario: Merchant sources all products from single supplier in Shenzhen. Supplier experiences production delay due to regulatory inspection. Merchant has 200 pending orders with no ability to fulfill them.

Merchant's options (all problematic):

  1. Cancel all orders and issue refunds (generates 200 refund requests, reputation damage, potential chargebacks)
  2. Promise delays and hope customers wait (some will file chargebacks after 30 days)
  3. Source from expensive alternative supplier at a loss (unsustainable financially)
  4. Go silent and hope it blows over (worst option: leads to mass chargebacks, regulatory complaints, and acquirer termination)

What we look for to assess supplier contingency:

Backup supplier relationships:

  • Alternative sources identified for top-selling products
  • Documentation of secondary supplier contacts
  • Tested backup fulfillment (has merchant successfully ordered from alternative supplier?)

Supplier monitoring:

  • Does merchant track supplier performance and reliability?
  • Early warning system for supplier issues (order delays, quality problems)
  • Regular communication with supplier about capacity and inventory

Financial reserves:

  • Does merchant have cash reserves to cover refunds if fulfillment fails?
  • Can merchant absorb loss of sourcing from higher-cost alternative in emergency?

Communication plan:

  • How will merchant notify customers of delays?
  • Proactive communication strategy to prevent chargebacks

For new merchants (no history):

We assess:

  • Does merchant understand supplier risk?
  • Has merchant identified backup sourcing options?
  • Does merchant have realistic expectations about supplier reliability?
  • Financial runway to survive supplier disruption

Red flags:

  • Merchant has only one supplier and no alternatives identified
  • Merchant dismisses supplier risk
  • Merchant has no plan for supplier failures
  • Merchant cannot afford to refund orders if fulfillment fails

Evidence-Based Underwriting: Documentation Request List

When underwriting a dropshipping merchant, we request specific documentation at different stages. Each document serves to verify operational capability and identify risk.

At Application Stage

Business and legal documentation:

  1. Business registration or incorporation documents
  2. Employer Identification Number (EIN) or tax identification
  3. Beneficial owner identification for all 25%+ owners
  4. Business bank account information (account must be in business name)
  5. Website URL and social media accounts
  6. Business plan or merchant questionnaire

Supplier documentation:

  1. Supplier name, registration, and location (full address)
  2. Supplier agreement, contract, or terms of service
  3. Recent purchase orders or invoices (3-6 months if available)
  4. Supplier contact information (phone and email, independently verified)

Policy documentation:

  1. Shipping policy as displayed on website (screenshot or URL)
  2. Return policy as displayed on website
  3. Refund policy
  4. Terms of service
  5. Privacy policy (if collecting customer data)

Operations documentation:

  1. Description of order fulfillment process (from order to delivery)
  2. Inventory management method and sync frequency
  3. Customer support contact methods and staffing
  4. Estimated monthly processing volume and average ticket size
  5. Projected growth plan (next 12 months)

During Onboarding (For Merchants with Operating History)

Performance documentation:

  1. Sample tracking numbers from recent orders (20-30 examples)
  2. Delivery performance data: - Average delivery time by destination - Percentage delivered within promised timeframe - Delayed shipment rate and reasons
  3. Return processing data: - Number of returns (past 90 days) - Return rate (percentage of orders) - Return approval or denial breakdown - Refund processing time
  4. Order cancellation data: - Cancellation rate due to stockouts - Cancellation notification timing
  5. Customer support performance: - Support ticket volume (past 90 days) - Average first response time - Average resolution time - Sample tickets (sanitized)

Financial documentation:

  1. Bank statements showing business transactions (3-6 months)
  2. Supplier payment history
  3. Chargeback history (if processed cards previously)
  4. Current chargeback rate and reason code breakdown

System and infrastructure documentation:

  1. E-commerce platform and version
  2. Inventory management system documentation
  3. Customer support helpdesk system
  4. Order management system
  5. Payment gateway currently used (if any)

For New Merchants (No Operating History)

When merchant has no transaction history, verification shifts to capability assessment:

Enhanced supplier verification:

  • Independent verification of supplier identity and capacity
  • Supplier references or testimonials
  • Third-party supplier assessment (if high-risk)

Financial stability verification:

  • Personal financial statements of owners (for individual ownership)
  • Funding sources and runway
  • Reserve capacity to cover potential refunds

Test order commission:

  • Payment processor may commission test orders to verify fulfillment
  • Cost borne by processor or merchant depending on underwriting agreement
  • 2-3 test orders to different destinations
  • Verify delivery timing, tracking accuracy, product quality

Phased onboarding:

  • Lower initial processing limits ($10K-$25K per month)
  • Higher reserve (10-20% vs. 5-10% for established merchants)
  • Monthly performance review for first 3-6 months
  • Graduation to standard terms after demonstrating performance

Ongoing Monitoring Documentation

Monthly reporting requirements:

  1. Transaction volume and average ticket size
  2. Chargeback count and rate (by reason code)
  3. Refund count and rate
  4. Customer complaint summary
  5. Any significant operational changes (new suppliers, policy changes, new markets)

Quarterly review documentation:

  1. Updated delivery performance metrics
  2. Updated return processing metrics
  3. Customer support performance review
  4. Any regulatory inquiries or consumer protection complaints
  5. Financial statements or bank statements

Trigger event documentation:

If certain thresholds are exceeded, request additional documentation:

  • Chargeback rate >1%: Root cause analysis and corrective action plan
  • Return rate >20%: Quality assessment and supplier review
  • Cancellation rate >5%: Inventory management improvement plan
  • Processing volume increase >50% month-over-month: Capacity verification
  • New supplier added: Full supplier verification package
  • Consumer protection complaint received: Incident report and resolution

Risk Scoring and Segmentation Framework

Not all dropshipping merchants present the same risk. We segment based on multiple control factors to apply appropriate underwriting standards and monitoring requirements.

Supplier Verification

25%
Supplier identity verified Relationship documented Supplier reputation Domestic vs. international sourcing

Delivery Capability

25%
Realistic stated delivery times Policy consistency Tracking availability Customer delivery feedback

Returns Infrastructure

20%
Return policy reasonableness Return address location Processing capability Historical return performance

Customer Support

15%
Support contact availability Response speed Staffing adequacy Customer satisfaction trends

Inventory Management

15%
Inventory sync frequency Stockout handling Cancellation rate Backup sourcing options

Risk Score Components

We evaluate merchants across five dimensions:

Total risk score: 0-100

  • 80-100: Low risk
  • 60-79: Medium risk
  • 40-59: High risk
  • <40: Decline

Risk Tier Definitions and Requirements

Tier 1: Low Risk (Score 80-100)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity fully verified with established relationship (6+ months)
  • Realistic delivery times clearly stated and matched to supplier capabilities
  • Domestic return address or professional returns infrastructure
  • Responsive customer support with documented performance metrics (<24 hour response)
  • Automated inventory sync (daily or better)
  • Operating history with strong performance: chargeback rate <0.5%, return rate 5-15%, cancellation rate <3%
  • Positive external reputation (reviews >3.5/5, few complaints)

Underwriting terms:

  • Approved for standard card processing
  • Reserve: 5-10% rolling reserve
  • Processing limit: $100K-$250K per month initially
  • Settlement: T+3 to T+7 days
  • Monitoring: Monthly reporting, quarterly reviews

Ongoing requirements:

  • Maintain chargeback rate <0.75%
  • Maintain delivery performance >85% within stated timeframe
  • Respond to monitoring requests within 5 business days
  • Notify acquirer of material changes (new suppliers, policy changes)

Tier 2: Medium Risk (Score 60-79)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity verified but relationship is new (<6 months)
  • Delivery times stated are realistic but on longer end (20-30 days)
  • International return address but clear return policy with reasonable terms
  • Customer support exists but response times are 24-48 hours
  • Inventory sync is daily or manual with acceptable performance
  • New merchant (no history) OR established merchant with chargeback rate 0.5-1.0%
  • External reputation acceptable (reviews >3.0/5, some complaints)

Underwriting terms:

  • Approved with enhanced monitoring
  • Reserve: 10-20% rolling reserve
  • Processing limit: $50K-$100K per month initially
  • Settlement: T+7 to T+14 days
  • Monitoring: Bi-weekly reporting, monthly reviews

Ongoing requirements:

  • Maintain chargeback rate <1.0%
  • Implement improvements to reach Tier 1 within 6 months
  • Respond to monitoring requests within 3 business days
  • Weekly chargeback reporting if rate approaches 1.0%

Graduation path:

  • After 6 months of successful performance, can graduate to Tier 1 terms
  • Requires demonstrated improvement in key metrics
  • Review of updated documentation and systems

Tier 3: High Risk (Score 40-59)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity not fully verified OR relationship very new (<3 months)
  • Delivery times are optimistic or inconsistent across website
  • International return address with restrictive return policy, OR no clear returns process
  • Customer support is limited (email only with slow response) or non-professional
  • Manual inventory management or frequent stockouts
  • New merchant with questionable capability OR established merchant with chargeback rate 1.0-1.5%
  • External reputation poor (reviews <3.0/5, multiple complaints)

Underwriting decision:

  • Conditional approval with strict controls OR decline depending on specific factors
  • If approved: probationary period with intensive monitoring

Underwriting terms (if approved):

  • Reserve: 20-30% rolling reserve
  • Processing limit: $25K-$50K per month initially (low caps)
  • Settlement: T+14 to T+30 days (extended hold)
  • Monitoring: Weekly reporting, bi-weekly reviews
  • Mandatory improvements required within 90 days

Conditions of approval:

  • Must implement specific improvements within 90 days
  • Failure to improve results in termination
  • Chargeback rate >1.5% triggers immediate review and potential termination

Special requirements:

  • May require personal guarantees from beneficial owners
  • May require upfront deposit to cover chargeback risk
  • Site visit or third-party inspection may be required
  • Test orders commissioned at merchant's expense

Tier 4: Decline (Score <40)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity not disclosed or unverifiable
  • Delivery times are clearly misrepresented or impossible
  • No return policy or "all sales final" for non-defective goods
  • No viable customer support
  • No inventory management system
  • Previous merchant account terminations for chargebacks
  • Chargeback rate >1.5% (if history available)
  • Regulatory warnings, consumer protection actions, or legal issues
  • External reputation very poor (reviews <2.0/5, numerous complaints, BBB F rating)

Underwriting decision: DECLINE

Rationale:

  • Operational controls are insufficient to manage risk
  • High likelihood of excessive chargebacks, customer complaints, and regulatory scrutiny
  • Reputational risk to payment processor
  • Potential for merchant failure and stranded liabilities

Feedback to merchant:

  • Provide specific deficiencies that led to decline
  • Outline improvements required to reconsider application
  • Suggest merchant reapply after addressing deficiencies (minimum 6-12 months with demonstrated improvements)

Special Considerations

New merchants (no transaction history):

  • Automatically treated as Medium Risk minimum (Tier 2)
  • Can qualify for Tier 1 terms only if exceptional documentation and capability demonstration
  • Start at Tier 2 with graduation path to Tier 1 after 6 months of performance

Merchants with prior processing history:

  • Risk score heavily influenced by actual performance data
  • Strong historical performance can offset some documentation weaknesses
  • Poor historical performance (chargebacks, complaints) is difficult to overcome

Product category modifiers:

  • Some product categories carry inherently higher risk and may require +1 tier treatment:
  • Electronics (high value, elevated chargeback risk)
  • Luxury goods or designer items (counterfeit risk)
  • Health supplements (regulatory risk, efficacy claims)
  • Adult products (reputational risk, age verification)
  • Lower risk categories may receive benefit:
  • Low-value items (<$20 average order)
  • Non-controversial commodity goods
  • Products with low return rates

Red Flags: When to Decline or Escalate

Certain patterns indicate high likelihood of operational failure, intentional misrepresentation, or fraud. These trigger immediate decline or escalation to senior underwriting review.

Immediate Decline Indicators

These signals warrant immediate decline without further consideration:

Supplier disclosure refusal:

  • Merchant explicitly refuses to disclose supplier identity when directly asked
  • Claims supplier information is "proprietary" or "confidential" without legitimate reason
  • Provides obviously fabricated supplier information (non-existent company, fake address)
  • Supplier cannot be contacted or denies relationship with merchant

Stolen or misrepresented content:

  • Website displays stolen product images (reverse image search reveals images from major brands or other retailers without proper licensing)
  • Product descriptions copied verbatim from other sites
  • Website uses trademarked brand names without authorization
  • Counterfeit goods suspected or confirmed

Inventory misrepresentation:

  • Merchant claims to have physical inventory but cannot provide warehouse address or access
  • Warehouse address is fake or does not exist
  • "Warehouse" is a residential address and merchant cannot explain

Previous account terminations:

  • Multiple previous merchant accounts with same beneficial owners terminated for excessive chargebacks
  • Previous termination for fraud, money laundering, or illegal activity
  • Beneficial owners on MATCH list (terminated merchant file)

Regulatory or legal issues:

  • Active regulatory investigation or enforcement action
  • Cease-and-desist letter from state attorney general or FTC
  • Pending or recent litigation related to consumer fraud or deceptive practices
  • Criminal charges against beneficial owners for fraud or financial crimes

Deceptive practices:

  • Website includes fabricated testimonials, fake reviews, or false endorsements
  • Misleading certifications or affiliations (example: "BBB Accredited" when not)
  • False scarcity or urgency tactics (fake countdown timers, "only 2 left in stock" that never changes)
  • Bait-and-switch tactics discovered during underwriting

High-risk ownership:

  • Beneficial owners have prior fraud convictions
  • Beneficial owners appear on OFAC or other sanctions lists
  • Beneficial owners use false identities or provide fake identification documents
  • Ownership structure is intentionally obscured (multiple layers of entities, offshore registration without legitimate reason)

Escalation Indicators (Senior Review Required)

These signals require escalation to senior underwriting or compliance review rather than automatic decline:

Delivery time impossibility:

  • Merchant's stated delivery times are physically impossible given supplier location and shipping method
  • Example: promises 5-day delivery when supplier is in China and uses standard mail (actual time: 15-30 days)
  • Merchant may not be intentionally deceptive but has unrealistic understanding of logistics

Decision: Escalate. May be approved with required policy corrections and enhanced monitoring.

Problematic returns setup:

  • Return address is mailbox service or virtual office with no evidence of fulfillment operations
  • International return address creates significant barrier for customers
  • Return policy is present but very restrictive (could be legitimate business decision or red flag)

Decision: Escalate. Assess whether returns infrastructure is inadequate or intentionally designed to prevent returns.

Copied or templated website:

  • Website terms of service, privacy policy, or other legal content copied from another site
  • Includes incorrect company names, addresses, or references to other businesses
  • Suggests lack of attention to detail or rush to launch

Decision: Escalate. May be approved if merchant corrects content and demonstrates legitimacy.

Tracking irregularities:

  • Tracking numbers provided for sample orders show delivery to addresses not matching stated customer addresses
  • Pattern of tracking delivered to nearby but incorrect addresses
  • Some tracking numbers are invalid or not found

Decision: Escalate. Investigate whether this is systematic fake tracking (decline) or isolated supplier errors (may approve with monitoring).

Quality complaints suggesting counterfeits:

  • Customer complaints or reviews reference quality issues that suggest counterfeit or unauthorized goods
  • Products are branded goods sold at suspiciously low prices
  • Supplier is located in region known for counterfeit production

Decision: Escalate. Requires investigation of product sourcing and legitimacy. May request proof of authorized distribution.

Poor but not catastrophic external reputation:

  • Reviews are negative but not universally so (2.5-3.0 out of 5 star range)
  • BBB has complaints but merchant is responding and attempting resolution
  • Some customer complaints about delivery or quality but not systemic failure

Decision: Escalate. May be approved as High Risk (Tier 3) with intensive monitoring and required improvements.

Aggressive growth projections:

  • New merchant projects very high volume ($200K+ per month) immediately
  • Projections are not supported by funding, infrastructure, or market analysis
  • May indicate unrealistic expectations or attempt to secure high processing limits

Decision: Escalate. May approve with conservative initial limits and phased increase based on performance.

Escalation Review Process

When application is escalated:

Senior underwriter review:

  • Comprehensive review of all documentation
  • Additional information requests to merchant
  • Independent verification of questionable elements
  • Risk assessment and recommendation

Possible outcomes:

  1. Approve with conditions: Merchant can proceed with specific requirements (policy corrections, enhanced monitoring, lower limits)
  2. Approve as High Risk (Tier 3): Intensive monitoring and probationary period
  3. Request additional information: Cannot make decision without further documentation
  4. Decline: Risk is too high even with mitigating controls

Escalation criteria should be documented:

  • Why was application escalated?
  • What additional information was obtained?
  • What factors supported decision?
  • What conditions or monitoring requirements were imposed?

The Underwriting Question: What Is Your Single Best Fulfillment Proof?

When underwriting dropshipping merchants, we have found value in focusing on one key question that surfaces the most critical evidence:

"Can you demonstrate that your fulfillment process works as described?"

This question cuts through documentation and representations to assess actual operational capability.

Why This Question Matters

Merchants with genuine operational control can provide concrete evidence:

  • Supplier agreements and payment history
  • Tracking numbers from fulfilled orders
  • Customer communications showing successful delivery
  • System documentation showing order flow
  • Performance metrics demonstrating reliability

Merchants without operational control will:

  • Provide vague descriptions
  • Offer promises rather than evidence
  • Deflect or become defensive
  • Cannot produce tracking or performance data
  • Focus on future plans rather than current capability

Answering the Question: Evidence Hierarchy

We typically advise teams to accept evidence in this priority order:

Tier 1 Evidence (Strongest): Historical Performance Data

For merchants with operating history:

  • 90 days of delivery performance data showing >85% on-time delivery
  • Sample tracking numbers (20-30) showing actual fulfilled orders
  • Customer reviews or feedback demonstrating successful fulfillment
  • Return processing records showing functional returns system
  • Bank statements showing regular supplier payments

Assessment: Direct evidence of working fulfillment process. Strongest indicator of future performance.

Tier 2 Evidence: Test Order Demonstration

For new merchants without history:

  • Place test orders (2-3 products to different addresses)
  • Verify orders are fulfilled within stated timeframe
  • Confirm tracking is accurate
  • Assess product quality and packaging
  • Evaluate customer communication during process

Assessment: Direct observation of capability. More reliable than documentation alone. Requires time (15-30 days) and cost ($100-$300) but provides high confidence.

Tier 3 Evidence: Supplier Verification

For new merchants unable to demonstrate through test orders:

  • Independent verification that supplier exists and has stated products
  • Supplier confirms they will fulfill orders on merchant's behalf
  • Supplier demonstrates capability (inventory levels, shipping methods, quality controls)
  • Merchant has secured agreement or relationship with supplier

Assessment: Indirect evidence. Confirms supply chain exists but does not prove merchant can effectively manage it.

Tier 4 Evidence (Weakest): Documentation and Representations

  • Supplier agreements without verification
  • System documentation without usage history
  • Policies without implementation evidence
  • Projections and plans without execution

Assessment: Necessary but not sufficient. Documentation can be fabricated or aspirational. Must be supported by higher-tier evidence.

Practical Implementation

For acquirers and payment service providers:

Standard underwriting workflow:

  1. Request Tier 1 evidence (historical performance) from all applicants
  2. If unavailable (new merchant), commission Tier 2 evidence (test orders)
  3. If test orders are impractical (time-sensitive application), require Tier 3 evidence (supplier verification) plus elevated reserves and monitoring
  4. Never approve based solely on Tier 4 evidence (documentation) without independent verification

For established merchants:

  • Tier 1 evidence should be readily available
  • Refusal to provide performance data is red flag
  • Focus verification on data quality and consistency

For new merchants:

  • Tier 1 not available by definition
  • Default to Tier 2 (test orders) for medium-risk approvals
  • Tier 3 (supplier verification) acceptable for low-limit, high-reserve approvals
  • Consider rejecting applications that cannot provide any evidence beyond Tier 4

The Refusal to Provide Evidence

When a merchant cannot or will not answer the fulfillment proof question:

Common evasions:

  • "Our supplier relationship is confidential"
  • "We're too new to have that data"
  • "Our process will work, we just need approval to start"
  • "Other processors didn't ask for this"
  • "I'll get you that information later, can you approve me now?"

How to respond:

  • Explain that evidence of capability is required for approval
  • Offer alternative forms of evidence if preferred method is impractical
  • For new merchants, offer phased approval: start with low limits, graduate based on performance
  • If merchant remains evasive or refuses, decline application

Rationale for decline:

  • Inability to demonstrate fulfillment capability indicates high operational risk
  • Refusal to provide evidence suggests merchant is hiding problems
  • Payment processor cannot assess risk without verification
  • Better to decline than approve and face excessive chargebacks

Practical Implementation for Risk Teams

For Acquirers and Payment Service Providers

Integrate dropshipping-specific underwriting criteria into merchant onboarding workflows:

Merchant application should include:

  • Business model identification (inventory vs. dropship vs. hybrid)
  • If dropship: supplier disclosure requirement
  • Shipping policy documentation requirement
  • Return policy documentation requirement
  • Customer support structure description

Automated document verification:

  • Website policy scraping and analysis using merchant onboarding workflows
  • Supplier business registration verification
  • Review site API integration for reputation monitoring
  • Tracking number validation

Risk scoring integration:

  • Implement the five-dimension risk scoring framework
  • Automated calculation based on provided documentation
  • Risk tier assignment with corresponding terms
  • Escalation triggers for senior review

Monitoring thresholds specific to dropshipping:

  • Chargeback rate monitoring
  • Average delivery time tracking
  • Customer complaint rate monitoring
  • Return rate monitoring
  • Order cancellation rate monitoring

Reserve and settlement policies:

  • Tiered reserve requirements based on risk score (5-30%)
  • Extended settlement for higher-risk merchants (T+7 to T+30)
  • Dynamic reserve adjustment based on performance

For Risk and Compliance Teams

Build a library of acceptable supplier relationships and pre-verified fulfillment partners:

Supplier whitelist:

  • Maintain database of verified suppliers who have served multiple merchants successfully
  • When new merchant applies using whitelisted supplier, reduce verification burden
  • Periodically re-verify suppliers on whitelist (annual review)

Aggregation platform evaluation:

  • Assess major dropshipping platforms (Oberlo, DSers, Spocket, CJ Dropshipping, etc.)
  • Understand each platform's supplier vetting and quality controls
  • Risk-rate merchants using evaluated platforms
  • Merchants using unknown or unvetted platforms require full supplier verification

Maintain feedback loop between underwriting and monitoring teams:

Performance data should inform underwriting criteria:

  • Which supplier relationships lead to lowest chargeback rates?
  • What delivery timeframes result in acceptable customer satisfaction?
  • Which return policies generate fewest disputes?
  • What level of customer support prevents chargebacks?

Update underwriting criteria based on portfolio performance:

  • If certain risk factors correlate with failures, adjust scoring weights
  • If new patterns emerge (new fraud schemes, new supplier issues), add verification steps
  • Share learnings across team to improve consistency

Regulatory monitoring:

  • Track FTC enforcement actions related to e-commerce and delivery representations
  • Monitor state attorney general consumer protection actions
  • Stay informed on card network rule changes affecting e-commerce
  • Adjust underwriting criteria to address emerging regulatory risks

For Platforms and Marketplaces

If you operate a platform that enables dropshipping as a fulfillment model:

Require sellers to disclose fulfillment method at listing creation:

  • Checkbox or dropdown: "This item ships from my inventory" vs. "This item dropships from supplier"
  • If dropship: require supplier disclosure and shipping timeframe
  • Platform validates that delivery estimates are realistic based on supplier location

Display delivery expectations based on actual fulfillment source:

  • Don't show generic "3-5 day" shipping for all items
  • Calculate and display realistic delivery timeframe based on supplier location and shipping method
  • Clearly communicate to buyer: "Ships from [location], arrives in [timeframe]"

Implement seller performance metrics:

  • On-time delivery rate (percentage of orders delivered within promised timeframe)
  • Order cancellation rate (especially due to stockouts)
  • Return processing time
  • Customer response time
  • Customer satisfaction scores

Performance-based consequences:

  • Sellers below performance standards receive warnings
  • Repeated poor performance results in account restrictions or suspension
  • Top-performing sellers receive badges or other recognition
  • Performance metrics are visible to buyers

Platform-level controls:

  • Automated tracking number validation
  • Delivery time monitoring
  • Customer complaint aggregation
  • Assistance with supplier verification

Ballerine's Role

Dropshipping underwriting requires collecting, verifying, and continuously monitoring dozens of data points for each merchant. Manual execution does not scale and produces inconsistent results.

We provide infrastructure to make this process manageable: automated supplier verification across international business registries, policy extraction and consistency checking across merchant websites, real-time delivery performance monitoring with carrier API integration, and risk scoring models that calculate merchant risk tiers automatically.

Our workflow automation handles evidence collection through structured underwriting checklists, while ongoing monitoring dashboards track chargeback rates, delivery performance, and customer complaints in real time. When regulatory requirements change or card network rules update, our system distributes alerts and policy recommendations to risk teams.

The result: risk teams can underwrite dropshipping merchants consistently, detect problems before they become chargeback crises, and scale operations without proportional headcount increases. Dropshipping becomes a manageable merchant segment rather than a risk exposure.

Related Questions

Reeza Hendricks

Understanding Dropshipping Risk in Payments

Dropshipping as a business model carries manageable risk when properly verified. The real exposure comes from merchants who obscure their fulfillment arrangements, misrepresent delivery capabilities, or lack operational control over the customer experience. For payment providers, acquirers (entities that enable merchants to accept card payments), and risk teams, the challenge is distinguishing between transparent dropshippers with solid operations and merchants running high-risk fulfillment setups that generate chargebacks, consumer complaints, and regulatory scrutiny. This guide outlines what we verify when evaluating dropshipping merchants, what signals indicate operational control versus risk, and how to structure evidence-based underwriting for this merchant segment.

The Business Model

Dropshipping is a retail fulfillment method where a merchant sells products without holding inventory. When a customer places an order, the merchant purchases the item from a third-party supplier who ships directly to the customer. The merchant never sees or handles the product.

Revenue model:
  • Customer pays merchant retail price (example: $50)
  • Merchant pays supplier wholesale price (example: $25)
  • Merchant keeps margin ($25 in this example)

Why it attracts new merchants:
  • Low startup costs (no inventory investment)
  • No warehouse or fulfillment infrastructure required
  • Easy to test products and markets
  • Scalable without physical expansion

Why it creates payment risk:
  • Merchant has no control over product quality
  • Delivery times are dependent on supplier reliability
  • Return processing is logistically complex
  • Customer service requires coordination with external parties
  • Supply chain disruptions directly impact merchant performance

The Payment Risk Profile

Dropshipping merchants typically exhibit elevated chargeback rates compared to merchants who hold inventory. We observe several patterns:

Item Not Received (INR) chargebacks:
  • Longer delivery times (international shipping is common) increase likelihood of customer disputes
  • Tracking information may be delayed or incomplete
  • Customers file chargebacks before items arrive, especially if delivery exceeds stated timeframe

Significantly Not As Described (SNAD) disputes:
  • Product quality may differ from merchant's website representation
  • Merchants use supplier product photos that may not match actual items
  • Size, color, or material discrepancies are common

Regulatory considerations:

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission Mail, Internet, or Telephone Order Merchandise Rule (16 CFR Part 435) requires merchants to:

  • Ship orders within the timeframe stated in their advertising
  • Ship within 30 days if no timeframe is specified
  • Notify customers of delays and offer the option to cancel for full refund
  • Provide prompt refunds if the order is canceled

For dropshippers sourcing from overseas suppliers, meeting these requirements without operational control is challenging.

The European Union Consumer Rights Directive similarly mandates delivery within 30 days unless otherwise agreed, and grants consumers a 14-day right of withdrawal for distance contracts.

The Scenario: New E-commerce Brand with Outsourced Fulfillment

Consider a typical underwriting case that arrives in merchant acquisition queues:

Merchant Profile

Business details:
  • New online store selling consumer electronics, fashion accessories, or home goods
  • Website launched within the past 3 to 6 months
  • Domain registered recently (check WHOIS data)
  • Business entity incorporated within the past year
  • No physical storefront or showroom

Stated operations:
  • No physical inventory or warehouse listed on the website
  • Delivery times stated as 15 to 30 business days
  • Ships from "various warehouses" or location not specified
  • Supplier and fulfillment partner not disclosed on website
  • Business registration shows a residential address or virtual office
  • Processing volume projected at $50,000 to $150,000 per month
  • Average order value: $30 to $80

Website characteristics:
  • Product images appear to be stock photos or supplier catalog images
  • Product descriptions are generic or copied from other sites
  • Limited "About Us" information
  • No physical contact address, only email or contact form
  • Social media accounts are new with minimal followers
  • Few or no genuine customer reviews

Payment processing request:
  • Applying for card-not-present (CNP) merchant account
  • May request high processing limits immediately
  • Growth projections may be aggressive
  • May have been declined by other processors

Why This Profile Requires Enhanced Due Diligence

This profile appears regularly in merchant underwriting queues. The merchant is not necessarily fraudulent or intentionally deceptive, but the setup creates information asymmetry. Without verification, you cannot assess whether they can fulfill orders, handle returns, manage customer disputes, or sustain operations beyond the first few months.

Key vulnerabilities:
  1. No operational track record: New merchants lack historical performance data
  2. Unknown supplier relationship: No evidence of established, reliable fulfillment
  3. Delivery expectation mismatch: Website promises may not align with supplier capabilities
  4. Financial instability: Thin margins and no inventory buffer create cash flow risk
  5. Customer service gaps: Merchants underestimate support requirements
  6. Scalability questions: Can they handle volume spikes or supplier issues?

Payment processor exposure:
  • Elevated chargeback risk requiring higher reserves
  • Potential merchant failure leaving stranded refund obligations
  • Consumer complaints escalating to regulatory authorities
  • Card network fines if chargeback thresholds are exceeded
  • Reputational risk from association with problematic merchants

What We Verify: The Five Core Control Points

When underwriting dropshipping merchants, we focus on five areas that reveal operational control and the ability to deliver on customer promises. Each area requires documentary evidence, not just representations.

Supplier Identity and Relationship Verification

Why It Matters

Knowing who fulfills the orders allows you to assess capability, reliability, and recourse. If the merchant cannot or will not disclose their supplier, they lack operational transparency. This is different from protecting competitive information. We are not asking for supplier pricing, exclusive product sources, or competitive intelligence. We are confirming that a real, identifiable entity is handling fulfillment and that the merchant has an established relationship with them.

Risk scenarios without supplier verification:
  • Supplier disappears: Merchant accepts orders they cannot fulfill
  • Quality issues: No accountability for defective or misrepresented products
  • IP infringement: Supplier provides counterfeit or unauthorized products
  • Delivery failures: No recourse when shipments are delayed or lost
  • Financial disputes: Merchant cannot recover funds from unreliable supplier

What We Look For

Supplier legal identity:
  • Full legal business name
  • Business registration number or tax identification
  • Physical business address (not a drop box or forwarding service)
  • Country of incorporation and operation
  • Years in business (established suppliers preferred)

Relationship documentation:

  • Written supplier agreement, contract, or terms of service
  • Purchase orders from the past 3 to 6 months
  • Payment transaction history showing regular purchases
  • Communication records (email threads, order confirmations)
  • Supplier references or testimonials

Supplier operational capabilities:
  • Product catalog or inventory list
  • Stated shipping methods and delivery timeframes
  • Order fulfillment process documentation
  • Quality control procedures
  • Return and defect handling policies

Supplier reputation and verification:
  • Business registration verification via public registry
  • Website presence with verifiable domain age
  • Third-party reviews or ratings (Alibaba, Global Sources, industry directories)
  • Trade association memberships
  • Export or import licenses if applicable

Verification Process

Step 1: Request supplier disclosure

Ask the merchant to provide:
  • Supplier company name and registration details
  • Contact information (phone, email, physical address)
  • Description of products supplied
  • Length of relationship
  • Most recent invoices or purchase orders (3 to 6 months)

Step 2: Independent verification

Do not rely solely on merchant-provided documents:

For Chinese suppliers:
  • Use National Enterprise Credit Information Publicity System to verify business registration
  • Check supplier on major B2B platforms (Alibaba, Made-in-China, Global Sources)
  • Verify export license if claiming to be manufacturer
  • Use third-party verification services (example: AsiaInspection, V-Trust)

For U.S. suppliers:
  • Verify business registration via state Secretary of State database
  • Check Better Business Bureau (BBB) profile
  • Search for legal judgments or liens
  • Verify physical address via Google Street View or property records

For EU suppliers:
  • Check VAT registration via VIES VAT number validation
  • Verify company registration via national registries (Companies House in UK, Handelsregister in Germany)

Step 3: Contact verification
  • Call the supplier directly using publicly listed phone number (not number provided by merchant)
  • Confirm they have a business relationship with the merchant
  • Ask about order volume and payment history
  • Inquire about delivery times and quality issues

Step 4: Physical verification (for high-risk cases)
  • Commission third-party inspection of supplier facility
  • Verify inventory exists and matches merchant's product listings
  • Assess production or warehousing capacity
  • Evaluate quality control processes

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Adequate supplier verification

Merchant provides:

  • Supplier name: "Shenzhen TechParts Manufacturing Co., Ltd."
  • Business registration number: 91440300XXXXXXXXXX
  • Address: Unit 5, Building B, Industrial Park, Baoan District, Shenzhen, China
  • Invoices showing $15,000 in monthly purchases over past 6 months
  • Supplier website: www.example-techparts.com (domain age: 8 years)
  • Product catalog matching merchant's listings

We verify:

  • Business registration confirmed via Chinese government database
  • Supplier listed on Alibaba with Gold Supplier status (3+ years)
  • Supplier has 200+ positive reviews on Alibaba
  • Phone number listed on website is answered by company representative
  • Representative confirms business relationship with merchant
  • Google Street View shows industrial facility at listed address

Assessment: Low risk. Supplier is established, verifiable, and confirms relationship.

Example B: Inadequate supplier verification

Merchant provides:

  • Supplier name: "Global Electronics Network"
  • Address: "Kowloon, Hong Kong" (no specific street address)
  • States "we work with multiple suppliers, this is our main one"
  • Provides single invoice from last month only
  • Supplier has no website or online presence
  • Cannot provide supplier contact information, states "we communicate via WeChat"

We verify:

  • Cannot locate business registration for "Global Electronics Network" in Hong Kong
  • Name is generic and yields no search results
  • No presence on B2B platforms
  • Provided address is non-specific (Kowloon is a large district)

Assessment: High risk. Supplier identity cannot be verified. Merchant may be using a middleman or agent, sourcing from multiple unknown sources, fabricating supplier information, or planning to fulfill orders without secured supply.

Red Flags: Supplier Verification

Immediate decline indicators:

  • Merchant refuses to disclose supplier identity when directly asked
  • Claims supplier information is "confidential" or "proprietary" without legitimate reason
  • Provides obviously fake supplier details (non-existent company, impossible address)
  • Supplier cannot be contacted or does not acknowledge relationship
  • Multiple merchants using same "supplier" that shows signs of being a shell company

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Supplier is located in high-risk jurisdiction
  • Supplier has been in business less than 1 year
  • Merchant-supplier relationship is less than 3 months old
  • Purchase order volume is inconsistent or shows single large order (not ongoing relationship)
  • Supplier specializes in goods commonly associated with fraud (luxury goods, electronics with high resale value)
  • Supplier has negative reviews or complaints about quality or delivery

Special Cases: Multi-Supplier and Aggregator Models

Some dropshipping merchants work with multiple suppliers or use dropshipping aggregation platforms (examples: Oberlo, DSers, Spocket, CJ Dropshipping).

Verification approach:

  • Request list of all suppliers used in past 90 days
  • Verify top 3 suppliers by volume (following same verification process)
  • If using aggregation platform, verify:
  • Platform provider identity and legitimacy
  • Merchant's account status on platform
  • Platform's supplier vetting procedures
  • How platform handles disputes and quality issues

Aggregation platform verification for merchants using platforms like Oberlo or CJ Dropshipping:

  • Confirm platform integration (request screenshots or API documentation)
  • Verify merchant account is active and in good standing
  • Understand platform's supplier vetting process
  • Review platform's policies on order fulfillment, tracking, and disputes
  • Note that platform is an intermediary, not the actual supplier

Risk assessment:

  • Aggregation platforms provide some operational oversight but merchant still lacks direct supplier relationship
  • Platform failure or policy changes can disrupt merchant's entire operation
  • Quality control is still limited
  • Consider as moderate risk, require ongoing monitoring

Shipping Times and Delivery Promise Verification

Why It Matters

Misrepresented delivery times are a primary driver of item-not-received (INR) chargebacks in dropshipping. Merchants who promise 5 to 10 business day delivery but source from overseas suppliers using standard international shipping (14 to 30 days) create a structural mismatch between customer expectations and reality.

Regulatory compliance:

The FTC Mail Order Rule requires merchants to:

  • Have a reasonable basis for stated delivery times
  • Ship within the stated time or within 30 days if no time is stated
  • Notify customers promptly if unable to ship as promised
  • Offer option to cancel with full refund if delayed

Violations can result in FTC enforcement actions and fines, state attorney general consumer protection actions, private lawsuits under state consumer protection statutes, and payment processor termination.

What We Look For

Website policy consistency:

  • Shipping policy page with clear delivery timeframes
  • Product page delivery estimates (do they match shipping policy?)
  • Checkout flow delivery messaging (what does customer see at payment?)
  • FAQ or customer service pages addressing shipping
  • Any countdown timers or urgency messaging (are they misleading?)

Delivery timeframe realism:

  • Stated timeframes align with supplier location and shipping method
  • Differentiation between processing time and shipping time
  • Buffer for holidays, weekends, customs clearance
  • Communication about potential delays

Shipping method documentation:

  • What carriers are used (USPS, DHL, ePacket, China Post, etc.)
  • What service levels (express, standard, economy)
  • Tracking availability and timing
  • Insurance and signature requirements

Historical performance data (if available):

  • Average actual delivery time by destination
  • Percentage of orders delivered within promised timeframe
  • Delayed order rate and reasons for delays
  • Customer complaints about delivery

Verification Process

Step 1: Website audit

Manually review merchant's website to document all delivery-related representations:

Shipping policy page:

  • Screenshot the full policy
  • Note stated timeframes for each shipping method or destination
  • Identify any disclaimers or exceptions
  • Check if origin location is disclosed

Product pages:

  • Check 10 to 15 random products for delivery estimates
  • Note any variance in stated times across products
  • Look for urgency tactics ("Order in next 2 hours for delivery by Friday")
  • Screenshot any delivery promises

Checkout flow:

  • Place test order (do not complete payment) to see checkout experience
  • Document shipping options and stated delivery times
  • Check if estimated delivery date is provided
  • Note any automatic selection of shipping method

Marketing materials:

  • Review email campaigns, ads, social media for delivery claims
  • Check if advertising promises differ from website policies
  • Look for "fast shipping" or "quick delivery" claims

Step 2: Supplier shipping capability analysis

Cross-reference merchant's promised delivery times with supplier's location and typical shipping times:

Supplier location to destination shipping times:

China

U.S. (East Coast)

ePacket

10-20 business days

China

U.S. (West Coast)

ePacket

7-15 business days

China

U.S.

Standard Air Mail

15-30 business days

China

EU

Standard

20-40 business days

China

EU

Express

5-10 business days

U.S. (domestic)

U.S.

USPS Priority

2-3 business days

U.S. (domestic)

U.S.

USPS Ground

2-8 business days

Reality check calculation:

If merchant promises: "Delivery in 10 to 14 business days" And supplier is located in: Shenzhen, China And shipping method is: ePacket to U.S. East Coast (typical range: 10 to 20 days) And processing time is: 2 to 3 days before shipment

Total realistic timeframe: 12 to 23 business days Merchant's promise: 10 to 14 business days

Assessment: Merchant's promise is optimistic and will likely be missed on a significant portion of orders, leading to customer dissatisfaction and disputes.

Step 3: Historical delivery data analysis

For merchants with operating history, request delivery performance report (past 90 days):

  • Total orders shipped
  • Average delivery time by destination region
  • Percentage delivered within promised timeframe
  • Delayed shipments (defined as exceeding promise by 5+ days)
  • Customer complaints about delivery
  • Chargeback rate for INR disputes

Tracking data sample:

  • Request 20 to 30 recent tracking numbers
  • Independently verify using carrier tracking websites
  • Calculate actual delivery times from order date to delivered date
  • Compare to merchant's stated timeframes

What good looks like:

  • 85%+ of orders delivered within stated timeframe
  • Average delivery time is at midpoint or better of stated range
  • Tracking shows consistent patterns (not wildly variable)
  • Few customer complaints about unexpected delays

Red flags:

  • Less than 70% delivered within stated timeframe
  • Average delivery time exceeds stated range
  • Orders show 30+ day delivery when 15 days was promised
  • Tracking numbers are invalid, delayed, or show unusual patterns

Step 4: Test orders (for new merchants)

When merchant lacks historical data, consider commissioning test orders:

Test order protocol:

  • Order 2 to 3 products to different U.S. regions
  • Use genuine residential addresses
  • Track elapsed time from order to delivery
  • Document all customer communications received
  • Verify tracking information accuracy
  • Assess packaging quality and product condition

Cost: $100 to $300 for sample orders Value: Direct evidence of operational capability Timeline: Must wait full delivery cycle (15 to 30+ days) before making underwriting decision

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Realistic and transparent delivery promises

Website states:

  • Shipping policy page: "Orders ship from our partner warehouse in Asia within 2 to 3 business days. Delivery to U.S. addresses typically takes 18 to 25 business days via standard international mail. Express shipping (5 to 10 business days) available for additional fee. You will receive tracking information within 3 business days of your order."
  • Product pages display: "Ships from Asia: 18-25 day delivery"
  • Checkout shows estimated delivery date range based on current date + 20 to 28 days

Supplier capabilities:

  • Located in Guangzhou, China
  • Uses China Post and ePacket for standard shipments
  • Offers DHL express upgrade
  • Provides tracking numbers within 48 hours

Historical performance:

  • Past 90 days: 88% delivered within 25 business days
  • Average delivery time: 21 business days to U.S.
  • Customer complaints: 2% of orders
  • INR chargeback rate: 0.4%

Assessment: Low risk. Delivery promises are realistic, transparent, and supported by historical performance.

Example B: Misleading delivery promises

Website states:

  • Shipping policy page: "Standard shipping 15-30 business days"
  • Product pages display: "Fast Shipping Available!" with countdown timer "Order in next 4 hours for quick delivery"
  • Checkout shows: "Standard Shipping (3-5 business days)" in dropdown (copied from template, not updated)
  • Marketing emails: "Get it fast! Order now for delivery this week"

Supplier capabilities:

  • Located in Shenzhen, China
  • Uses standard China Post (20 to 40 day typical delivery)
  • No express option available
  • Tracking is delayed by 7 to 10 days

Actual performance (merchant refuses to provide data, but review sites checked):

  • Trustpilot reviews show complaints: "ordered 3 weeks ago, still not here"
  • Reddit mentions: "took 6 weeks to arrive"
  • BBB complaints: "promised 2 weeks, took over a month"

Assessment: High risk. Delivery promises are inconsistent across touchpoints, misleading at checkout, and not supported by supplier capabilities or customer experience reports.

Red Flags: Delivery Promises

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • Promises domestic U.S. delivery times (2 to 5 days) when supplier is in Asia
  • Uses countdown timers implying immediate shipment but processes orders days later
  • Checkout shows incorrect shipping times that contradict shipping policy
  • Refuses to disclose shipping origin or methods
  • Marketing explicitly claims "ships from U.S." when it does not
  • Has regulatory warning letters or consumer protection actions for delivery misrepresentation

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Stated times are at the optimistic edge of possible (example: "7 to 10 days" for China to U.S.)
  • No distinction between processing time and shipping time
  • Vague language like "ships soon" or "fast delivery" without specifics
  • Different promises on different parts of website
  • Customer reviews mention unexpected long delivery

Policy Language Best Practices

We recommend risk teams look for this level of clarity:

Good policy example:

"Our products ship directly from our manufacturing partner in Shenzhen, China. Orders are typically processed and handed to the carrier within 2-3 business days. Shipping to the United States takes 18-25 business days via standard international mail service (China Post/ePacket). Express shipping (5-10 business days via DHL) is available for an additional $15. Tracking information will be emailed within 3 business days of your order and can take 5-7 days to show movement. Delivery times do not include weekends, holidays, or customs clearance delays. International orders may be subject to customs duties which are the customer's responsibility."

This policy discloses shipping origin, separates processing time from shipping time, provides realistic timeframe ranges, explains tracking delays, sets expectations for customs, and offers express alternative.

Returns Process and Policy Verification

Why It Matters

Returns are where dropshipping operations break down. If the merchant has no physical location and the supplier is overseas, processing a return becomes logistically complex and expensive for both merchant and customer. International return shipping can cost $30 to $80, exceeding the product's value in some cases. Merchants who cannot handle returns efficiently default to refund denials or ignore return requests, which leads to chargebacks and negative reviews.

Consumer protection regulators view return policies as a critical consumer right. The European Consumer Rights Directive mandates a minimum 14-day withdrawal right for distance sales. While U.S. federal law does not mandate returns for non-defective goods, card network rules effectively require reasonable return policies.

What We Look For

Published return policy:

  • Clear return window (example: "30 days from delivery")
  • Conditions for returns (unused, original packaging, tags attached, etc.)
  • Return shipping responsibility (who pays?)
  • Return address provided (domestic or international?)
  • Refund processing timeline (example: "within 5 business days of receiving return")
  • Restocking fees or return shipping deductions (if any)
  • Exceptions (final sale items, personalized products, etc.)

Return logistics capability:

  • Return shipping address (P.O. Box, residential, warehouse, or freight forwarder?)
  • Return processing facility and staff
  • Inspection and restocking procedures
  • Inventory disposition (resell, return to supplier, dispose?)
  • Return fraud prevention measures

Historical return data:

  • Return rate (percentage of orders)
  • Reasons for returns (defective, wrong item, customer changed mind, etc.)
  • Return processing time (days from return shipment to refund issued)
  • Return denial rate and reasons
  • Chargeback rate among customers whose returns were denied

Refund processing:

  • Method of refund (original payment method, store credit, other)
  • Timeframe for refund posting
  • Communication with customer during return process
  • Partial refunds (restocking fees, shipping deductions)

Verification Process

Step 1: Policy documentation review

Return policy content analysis:

  • Screenshot merchant's published return policy from website
  • Verify return policy is easily accessible (linked in footer, FAQ, product pages)
  • Check if policy is clear and specific (not vague like "returns accepted at our discretion")
  • Identify return window (30 days is industry standard)
  • Note return shipping cost allocation
  • Verify return address is provided

Comparison to industry standards:

Return window

30-60 days

14-30 days

<14 days or "no returns"

Return shipping cost

Merchant pays or free labels

Customer pays (reasonable)

Customer pays + restocking fee

Return address

Domestic (same country as customer)

International with clear instructions

No address provided or P.O. Box only

Refund timeline

3-5 business days after receipt

5-10 business days

>10 days or "up to 30 days"

Condition requirements

Reasonable (unused, tags attached)

Strict but clear

Vague or impossible

Restocking fee

None

$5-10 or <15%

>15% or variable

Step 2: Return address verification

The return address is critical for assessing operational control.

Address types and risk assessment:

Domestic warehouse or 3PL (Low Risk):

  • Address is a warehouse, distribution center, or third-party logistics provider
  • Located in same country as majority of customers
  • Verifiable via Google Maps, Street View, or property records
  • Merchant can demonstrate relationship with facility (contract, invoices)

Example: "Returns: ABC Fulfillment Center, 123 Warehouse Lane, Suite 500, City, State ZIP"

Verification: Google search shows commercial warehouse facility. Call to confirm they handle returns for merchant.

Residential address (Medium Risk):

  • Address is merchant owner's home or apartment
  • Common for small, early-stage dropshippers
  • Indicates lack of professional fulfillment infrastructure
  • May be acceptable if volume is low and merchant is transparent

Example: "Returns: 456 Main Street, Apartment 2B, City, State ZIP"

Verification: Property records show residential property. Merchant confirms they process returns at home.

Risk mitigation: Acceptable for merchants with <$50K monthly volume and clear growth plan to transition to professional returns facility.

International return address (High Risk):

  • Return address is in different country than customer
  • Returns go back to supplier (example: returns to China)
  • Return shipping cost is prohibitive ($40 to $80 from U.S. to China)
  • Customs forms required, long return shipping times
  • Creates economic barrier to returns

Example: "Returns: Supplier Name, Shenzhen, Guangdong, China 518000"

Assessment: High risk. Most customers will not pay $60 to return a $30 item. Merchant is effectively discouraging returns through prohibitive logistics. Expect elevated chargeback rate when customers realize return is impractical.

P.O. Box or mail forwarding service (High Risk):

  • P.O. Box, PMB (Private Mail Box), or commercial mail receiving agency
  • No physical facility to receive and process returns
  • May indicate merchant does not actually process returns
  • Used by transient operations

Example: "Returns: P.O. Box 789, City, State ZIP" or "Returns: c/o Mail Center Plus #456"

Assessment: High risk. Request explanation of how returns are physically processed. If merchant admits returns are forwarded back to supplier overseas, same concerns as international returns apply.

No address provided (Critical Risk):

  • Return policy exists but provides no address
  • States "contact customer service for return authorization" without further detail
  • Creates obstacle to exercising return right

Assessment: Likely decline. Indicates merchant is avoiding or discouraging returns.

Step 3: Return processing verification

For merchants with operating history, request documentation of actual return handling:

Return activity report (past 90 days):

  • Total orders
  • Number of return requests
  • Return rate (returns divided by total orders)
  • Return reasons (defective, wrong item, changed mind, sizing, quality concerns)
  • Returns approved vs. denied
  • Average refund processing time (from return received to refund issued)
  • Return fraud incidents (empty boxes, wrong items returned, etc.)

Sample return case files:

  • Request 5 to 10 recent return cases
  • Review customer communication (email threads)
  • Verify merchant provided return instructions and address
  • Check refund was issued and timeline
  • Assess customer service quality

What good looks like:

  • Return rate: 5% to 15% (typical for e-commerce)
  • Most returns approved (>90% approval rate)
  • Return instructions provided within 24 hours of request
  • Refunds issued within 5 business days of receiving returned item
  • Clear communication throughout process
  • Return fraud detection without excessive denial of legitimate returns

Red flags:

  • Return rate >20% (may indicate quality issues or misrepresentation)
  • Return rate <2% with no returns infrastructure (suggests returns are being denied or discouraged)
  • High denial rate (>20% of returns denied)
  • Refund processing time >10 business days
  • Customer complaints about difficulty returning items
  • No evidence of actual returns being received and processed

Step 4: Customer experience verification

Check third-party sources for customer return experiences:

Review site analysis:

  • Trustpilot, Better Business Bureau, Google Reviews, Reddit
  • Search for mentions of returns, refunds, customer service
  • Note complaints about return difficulties
  • Look for patterns: "wouldn't accept my return", "made it impossible to return", "charged huge return shipping"

Social media monitoring:

  • Search merchant name + "return" on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram
  • Check merchant's own social media for customer service interactions
  • Note responsiveness to return inquiries

Chargeback data:

  • If merchant has processing history, review chargeback reason codes
  • High rate of "product not as described" or "customer dispute" chargebacks suggests return process failures
  • Customers who cannot return successfully will file chargebacks

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Professional returns handling

Return policy states:

  • "We accept returns within 30 days of delivery for any reason. To initiate a return, email support@merchant.com with your order number. We will provide a prepaid return label within 24 hours. Refunds are issued to the original payment method within 3-5 business days of our receiving the returned item. Items must be unused and in original packaging with all tags attached."

Return address:

  • Domestic U.S. 3PL facility: "Returns Processing, ShipBob Warehouse, 1234 Logistics Parkway, City, State ZIP"

Verification:

  • 3PL relationship confirmed (merchant provides contract with ShipBob)
  • Past 90 days: 120 returns out of 1,000 orders (12% return rate)
  • Average refund processing: 4 days from return receipt
  • Customer reviews mention easy return process: "returned with no hassle"
  • Zero BBB complaints about returns

Assessment: Low risk. Professional returns infrastructure, reasonable policies, and positive customer feedback.

Example B: Inadequate returns handling

Return policy states:

  • "All sales are final. Returns are only accepted for defective items within 14 days. Customer must pay return shipping to our facility in China. Refunds take 20-30 days to process. Restocking fee of 20% applies."

Return address:

  • International: "Returns: [Supplier Name], Shenzhen, China" (address in Chinese characters)

Verification:

  • Merchant provides no return data, claims "very few returns"
  • Customer reviews show complaints: "wouldn't let me return", "said I had to ship to China at my cost"
  • BBB has 15 complaints about refused returns and no refunds
  • Chargeback data (if available from previous processor): 2.8% chargeback rate, majority are "product not as described"

Assessment: High risk. Return policy is consumer-unfriendly and creates barriers. International return address makes returns economically impractical. Customer complaints confirm return issues drive chargebacks.

Red Flags: Returns Process

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • "All sales final" or "no returns" policy for non-defective goods
  • Return address is offshore with no domestic alternative
  • No return address provided at all
  • Return policy buried or difficult to find on website
  • Merchant has regulatory warnings or consumer protection actions related to returns

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Return window <14 days
  • Customer must pay return shipping to international address
  • Restocking fees >15%
  • Vague conditions ("returns at our discretion", "items must be in perfect condition")
  • Return refund processing time >10 business days
  • Pattern of customer complaints about return difficulties
  • High chargeback rate with SNAD (significantly not as described) reason codes

Customer Support Capacity Verification

Why It Matters

Dropshipping introduces longer delivery times, variability in product quality, and complex fulfillment chains. Without responsive and capable customer support, minor issues escalate to chargebacks. We see this pattern repeatedly: merchant has a functional website and processes payments smoothly, but when customers have questions about delivery, product issues, or returns, they encounter no phone number, email auto-replies, 48+ hour response delays, or generic responses that do not address their concerns. Frustrated customers file chargebacks as the only recourse.

Card networks and payment processors evaluate merchants based partially on customer service quality. Acquirers may require specific support standards (example: phone support during business hours, <24 hour email response time) as a condition of approval.

What We Look For

Contact methods available:

  • Email address (monitored regularly?)
  • Phone number (answered during stated hours?)
  • Live chat (real-time or delayed?)
  • Contact form (response time?)
  • Social media responsiveness (Twitter, Facebook, Instagram)
  • Helpdesk or ticketing system

Support availability:

  • Hours of operation (24/7, business hours, limited hours?)
  • Time zones covered
  • Holiday and weekend support
  • Response time commitments (example: "we respond within 24 hours")

Support staffing and infrastructure:

  • Number of support staff
  • In-house vs. outsourced
  • Staff training and knowledge base
  • Escalation procedures for complex issues
  • Multilingual support (if serving international customers)

Support performance metrics:

  • Average first response time
  • Average resolution time
  • Ticket volume and trends
  • Customer satisfaction scores (if measured)
  • Percentage of tickets resolved on first contact

Verification Process

Step 1: Contact method audit

Website review:

  • List all customer contact methods displayed on website
  • Check visibility (footer, header navigation, dedicated "Contact Us" page)
  • Note if contact information is hidden or difficult to find
  • Verify phone number is not a VoIP or international forwarding number
  • Check email domain matches merchant website (not generic Gmail or Yahoo)

Contact method testing:

Email test:

  • Send inquiry via provided email address
  • Time the response
  • Assess response quality (generic template vs. specific answer)

Phone test (if provided):

  • Call during stated business hours
  • Note if answered live or voicemail
  • If live answered, assess representative's knowledge and professionalism
  • If voicemail, time callback response

Chat test (if available):

  • Initiate chat session
  • Determine if bot or human
  • Test with complex question requiring product knowledge
  • Assess response time and quality

Contact form test:

  • Submit inquiry via website contact form
  • Time the response
  • Verify response comes from stated email address

Step 2: Support infrastructure documentation

For merchants with established operations, request:

Support staffing information:

  • Number of full-time and part-time support staff
  • Support staff location(s) (in-house, outsourced, offshore)
  • Training program documentation
  • Staff turnover rate
  • Support schedule and coverage

Support system documentation:

  • Helpdesk or CRM system used (Zendesk, Gorgias, Freshdesk, etc.)
  • Knowledge base or FAQ resources
  • Support email templates and response procedures
  • Escalation procedures for complex issues
  • Integration with order management system

Service level agreements (SLAs):

  • Stated response time goals
  • Resolution time goals
  • How performance is measured
  • Consequences if SLAs are not met

Step 3: Historical support performance review

For merchants with operating history:

Support metrics report (past 90 days):

  • Total tickets received
  • Average first response time
  • Average resolution time
  • Ticket volume by category (delivery inquiry, product question, return request, complaint, etc.)
  • Customer satisfaction scores (if measured via post-ticket survey)
  • Escalated tickets (requiring manager or specialized handling)

Sample ticket review:

  • Request sanitized examples of 10 to 15 recent tickets
  • Review merchant's responses for quality and helpfulness
  • Assess if issues were resolved or customer was dismissed
  • Check response time for each ticket
  • Evaluate tone and professionalism

What good looks like:

  • Average first response time: <24 hours for email, <1 hour for chat
  • Average resolution time: 2 to 3 days for most issues
  • High first-contact resolution rate (>60%)
  • Customer satisfaction score >80% (if measured)
  • Evidence of proactive support (following up on delayed orders, checking customer satisfaction)

Red flags:

  • Average first response time >48 hours
  • Generic responses that do not address customer's specific question
  • High volume of repeat contacts (customer has to contact multiple times for same issue)
  • Evidence of dismissive or defensive responses
  • No resolution for common issues (customer told to "wait" without specific timeline)

Step 4: External reputation monitoring

Check third-party sources for customer service experiences:

Review sites and forums:

  • Trustpilot, Better Business Bureau, Google Reviews, Sitejabber
  • Search for mentions of customer service, support, "can't reach them", "no response"
  • Calculate percentage of reviews mentioning support issues
  • Note recent trends (getting better or worse?)

Social media monitoring:

  • Check merchant's social media accounts for unanswered customer inquiries
  • Look for complaints about unresponsive support
  • Assess merchant's public response to complaints (do they engage or ignore?)

Chargeback data analysis:

  • Review chargeback reason codes for "merchant dispute" or "service not rendered"
  • High rates of these chargebacks suggest customers cannot resolve issues through support

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Responsive professional support

Contact methods:

  • Email: support@merchant.com (monitored 24/7)
  • Phone: 1-800-XXX-XXXX (answered 9am-7pm EST Mon-Fri)
  • Live chat: Real-time chat 9am-9pm EST daily
  • Social media: Active responses on Twitter and Facebook

Support system:

  • Uses Gorgias helpdesk integrated with Shopify
  • 3 full-time support staff + 1 part-time
  • Internal knowledge base with 50+ articles
  • SLA: <12 hours first response, <48 hours resolution

Performance (past 90 days):

  • 450 tickets received
  • Average first response: 8 hours
  • Average resolution: 2.1 days
  • Customer satisfaction: 87% positive ratings
  • Sample tickets show helpful, specific responses

External reputation:

  • Trustpilot 4.2/5 stars
  • Several reviews specifically praise customer service: "replied within hours", "very helpful"
  • Few complaints about responsiveness

Assessment: Low risk. Professional support infrastructure with good performance metrics and positive customer feedback.

Example B: Inadequate support

Contact methods:

  • Email: info@merchant.com (generic address)
  • Contact form only (no phone or chat)
  • Social media accounts exist but show no recent activity

Support system:

  • Merchant states "I handle all emails myself"
  • No helpdesk system
  • No stated response time commitment

Performance:

  • Merchant cannot provide support metrics ("I respond to everyone")
  • When pressed, admits email volume is "overwhelming"
  • Test email sent Monday at 10am, received response Friday at 3pm (5 days)
  • Response is generic: "Thank you for contacting us, your order is being processed"

External reputation:

  • BBB rating: F, with 20 complaints about non-responsive customer service
  • Trustpilot 2.1/5 stars
  • Reviews state: "impossible to reach", "never answer emails", "no phone number"
  • Reddit thread warning others about this merchant

Chargeback data:

  • Previous processor terminated merchant for >2% chargeback rate
  • Majority of chargebacks were "merchant dispute" where customer claimed they tried to contact merchant but received no response

Assessment: High risk. Inadequate support infrastructure and documented history of unresponsiveness. Chargebacks are direct result of support failures.

Red Flags: Customer Support

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • No phone number or contact method except generic email or form
  • Email goes unanswered for 5+ days
  • Phone number is disconnected or rings without answer
  • Merchant has BBB complaints or negative reviews specifically about support
  • Previous processing history shows chargebacks driven by support failures

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Support email is personal email account (Gmail, Yahoo) not company domain
  • No live support during business hours
  • Support is entirely outsourced to offshore provider with language barriers
  • Merchant admits support is "just me" but projects high processing volume
  • Response time commitments are vague ("we try to respond quickly")
  • No support system or ticket tracking
  • High volume of customer complaints about responsiveness in reviews

Inventory Visibility and Availability Control

Why It Matters

If the merchant lists products they cannot reliably source, they will collect payment and then experience long delays, order cancellations, or need to source from alternative suppliers at higher cost. Order cancellations after payment create customer friction, refund requests, and chargeback risk. Even when refunds are processed promptly, cancellations damage merchant reputation and customer lifetime value.

Real-time or near-real-time inventory visibility is a key indicator of operational maturity and supplier relationship quality. Merchants with inventory sync systems demonstrate they have structured integrations with suppliers and take availability seriously.

What We Look For

Inventory management system:

  • What system does merchant use to track product availability?
  • How does inventory data flow from supplier to merchant's website?
  • What is the sync frequency (real-time, hourly, daily, manual)?

Stockout handling procedures:

  • How are out-of-stock items displayed on website?
  • Are backorders accepted? How are they communicated?
  • What happens when customer orders unavailable item?

Product sourcing backup:

  • Does merchant have alternative suppliers for key products?
  • What is the plan if primary supplier is out of stock?
  • How quickly can merchant source from alternatives?

Historical availability performance:

  • Order cancellation rate due to stockouts
  • Average time from discovering stockout to notifying customer
  • Percentage of products listed that are actually available
  • Customer complaints about canceled orders

Verification Process

Step 1: Inventory system documentation

Website platform and inventory integration:

For merchants using e-commerce platforms:

Shopify:

  • Check if inventory tracking is enabled
  • Verify integration with supplier or dropshipping app (Oberlo, DSers, Spocket, CJ Dropshipping)
  • Review sync settings and frequency
  • Verify inventory levels are actually synced (not all set to "999")

WooCommerce:

  • Check inventory management settings
  • Verify product import method
  • Review inventory sync process

Custom or standalone site:

  • Request technical documentation of inventory management
  • API integration with supplier (if any)
  • Database schema showing inventory tracking

Request from merchant:

  • Screenshots or documentation of inventory sync configuration
  • Sync frequency (real-time, hourly, daily, weekly, manual)
  • What happens if sync fails? (alerts, fallback procedures)
  • How stockouts are handled (product hidden, marked "out of stock", backorder option)

For aggregation platform users (Oberlo, DSers, etc.):

  • Verify merchant's account status on platform
  • Review platform's inventory sync capabilities
  • Understand platform's supplier vetting and reliability
  • Check if platform guarantees inventory accuracy

Step 2: Stockout management verification

Website testing:

  • Browse merchant's product listings
  • Check inventory status indicators (if shown)
  • Look for "out of stock" or "backorder" labels
  • Note if inventory quantities are displayed
  • Attempt to add unavailable item to cart (is it prevented?)

Stockout policy review:

  • Request merchant's written stockout handling procedures
  • How quickly are customers notified?
  • Are refunds processed immediately?
  • Alternative product suggestions offered?
  • Compensation for inconvenience (discount on future order)?

What good looks like:

  • Product availability syncs at least daily (hourly or real-time preferred)
  • Out-of-stock items are clearly marked or hidden from search results
  • Customers cannot checkout with unavailable items
  • If stockout discovered after order, customer is notified within 24 hours
  • Full refund processed immediately
  • Apology and perhaps discount offered

Red flags:

  • Inventory quantities all show "999" or "100" (fake availability)
  • No inventory tracking system
  • Manual process: "I check with supplier after receiving order"
  • Products remain listed long after supplier discontinued them
  • No clear stockout handling policy

Step 3: Historical cancellation data review

For merchants with operating history:

Order cancellation report (past 90 days):

  • Total orders
  • Orders canceled due to stockout or unavailability
  • Cancellation rate (cancellations divided by total orders)
  • Average time from order to cancellation notification
  • Refund processing time for canceled orders
  • Customer complaints or negative reviews related to cancellations

Industry benchmarks:

  • Excellent: <2% cancellation rate
  • Acceptable: 2% to 5%
  • Concerning: 5% to 10%
  • High risk: >10%

Cancellation rate analysis:

If cancellation rate is high, investigate:

  • Is it concentrated in specific products? (supplier reliability issue)
  • Is it seasonal? (holiday inventory strain)
  • Is it trending up or down? (improving or deteriorating)
  • How long until customer is notified? (<24 hours is acceptable)

Step 4: Supplier inventory verification

For direct supplier relationships:

  • Request supplier's inventory list or stock levels for key products
  • Cross-reference with merchant's website listings
  • Verify merchant is not listing products supplier doesn't carry
  • Check if supplier has minimum order quantities that might create availability issues

For platform or aggregator users:

  • Understand platform's inventory accuracy
  • Check if platform has reputation for stockout issues
  • Review platform's seller or supplier ratings

Test order scenario:

Consider placing test order for 2 to 3 products to verify:

  • Order is confirmed promptly
  • Order is not canceled due to stockout
  • Tracking is provided within stated time
  • Products are actually shipped

Cost: $50-$150 for test orders Value: Direct evidence of inventory management effectiveness

Example Verification: Good vs. Poor

Example A: Professional inventory management

System:

  • Merchant uses Shopify with DSers integration
  • Inventory syncs every 24 hours from AliExpress supplier accounts
  • Merchant has 150 products listed
  • All products show accurate stock levels (not generic "999")
  • Out-of-stock items are automatically hidden from catalog

Procedures:

  • Written stockout policy: "If item becomes unavailable after order, customer is notified within 12 hours via email and full refund is issued immediately"
  • Merchant has backup suppliers for top 20 best-selling products

Performance (past 90 days):

  • 850 orders
  • 18 orders canceled due to stockout (2.1% cancellation rate)
  • Average notification time: 8 hours
  • All refunds processed within 24 hours
  • Customer reviews mention 2 cancellations but praise fast refund

Assessment: Low risk. Professional inventory management with low cancellation rate and customer-friendly handling of stockouts.

Example B: Inadequate inventory management

System:

  • Merchant uses WooCommerce
  • "Inventory is updated manually every few weeks"
  • All products show "In stock" regardless of actual availability
  • Merchant states "I check with supplier after customer orders"

Procedures:

  • No written stockout policy
  • Merchant admits "sometimes it takes a few days to find out if supplier has it"
  • If unavailable, merchant tries to find alternative supplier, causing delays

Performance:

  • Merchant refuses to provide cancellation data
  • BBB complaints include: "ordered weeks ago, finally told item not available", "paid for product, then told they don't have it"
  • Trustpilot reviews: "canceled my order after 10 days", "never received order and took forever to get refund"
  • Test order commissioned: Order placed Monday, no shipment by Friday, inquiry sent, response Monday: "sorry, that item is not available, refund will process in 5-7 days"

Assessment: High risk. No inventory management system. High likelihood of cancellations and customer frustration. Order-to-cancellation delays create negative experience even when refunds are issued.

Red Flags: Inventory Management

Critical violations (likely decline):

  • No inventory management system
  • Merchant checks availability only after customer orders
  • High cancellation rate (>10%)
  • Long delays (>48 hours) to notify customers of stockouts
  • Pattern of customer complaints about canceled orders

Enhanced due diligence triggers:

  • Manual inventory updates (not automated sync)
  • All products show generic availability ("In stock", "Available")
  • Large product catalog (>500 products) with questionable sourcing capability
  • Merchant cannot explain inventory sync process
  • New merchant with no track record, listing hundreds of products
  • Products appear to be scraped from other sites or marketplaces

What Good Looks Like: Operational Control and Transparency

A well-run dropshipping operation demonstrates operational control through documentation, systems, and performance. We look for evidence, not promises.

Documentation Completeness

At application, merchant provides:

Supplier verification package:

  • Supplier legal name and registration details
  • Supplier contact information (verified independently)
  • Supplier agreement or purchase orders (3-6 months)
  • Supplier capability documentation (product catalog, shipping methods)
  • Evidence of established relationship (payment history, communication records)

Policy documentation:

  • Shipping policy (clear delivery timeframes aligned with supplier location)
  • Return policy (30+ day window, domestic return address preferred)
  • Refund policy (processing timeline and methods)
  • Terms of service (comprehensive and specific)
  • Privacy policy (GDPR or CCPA compliant if applicable)

Operations documentation:

  • Inventory management system description and sync frequency
  • Customer support procedures and staffing
  • Order fulfillment workflow (from order to delivery)
  • Return processing workflow
  • Stockout handling procedures

Financial documentation:

  • Business bank statements (segregated business account)
  • Supplier payment history
  • Business tax returns or financial statements (if established)
  • Funding sources and runway (for new merchants)

Performance Transparency

For merchants with operating history, providing:

Delivery performance:

  • Average delivery time by destination region
  • Percentage delivered within promised timeframe (>85% goal)
  • Tracking provision rate and timing
  • Customer complaints about delivery (<2%)

Return and refund performance:

  • Return rate (5-15% typical for e-commerce)
  • Return approval rate (>90% for legitimate returns)
  • Average refund processing time (<5 days)
  • Return fraud detection and prevention

Customer service performance:

  • Average first response time (<24 hours)
  • Average resolution time (<3 days)
  • Ticket volume and trends
  • Customer satisfaction scores (>80%)

Order fulfillment performance:

  • Order cancellation rate (<3%)
  • Stockout notification timing (<24 hours)
  • Out-of-stock product handling

System Integration and Automation

Technology indicators of operational maturity:

E-commerce platform:

  • Professional platform (Shopify, WooCommerce, BigCommerce, custom)
  • Not: single-page website or sketchy platform

Payment integration:

  • Checkout is native or well-integrated (Stripe, PayPal, Authorize.Net)
  • Not: external payment pages or manual payment collection

Inventory management:

  • Automated sync with supplier or platform API
  • Not: manual spreadsheets or "I'll check when order comes in"

Customer support:

  • Helpdesk system (Zendesk, Gorgias, Freshdesk)
  • Not: personal Gmail inbox

Order management:

  • Integrated system tracking orders from placement to delivery
  • Not: manual order forwarding via email

Analytics and reporting:

  • Dashboard tracking key metrics (conversion rate, average order value, customer lifetime value)
  • Ability to pull reports on demand for underwriting or monitoring

External Validation

Review and reputation indicators:

Positive signals:

  • Trustpilot or Google Reviews score >3.5/5 with significant volume (50+ reviews)
  • Reviews mention specific products and genuine experiences
  • Mix of positive and some critical reviews (all 5-star is suspicious)
  • Merchant responds professionally to negative reviews

Negative signals:

  • Very low review scores (<2.5/5)
  • High percentage of 1-star reviews
  • Reviews mention delivery delays, poor quality, difficult returns, unresponsive support
  • Merchant does not respond to reviews or responds defensively
  • BBB complaints or regulatory warnings

Social proof:

  • Active social media presence (not just created last month)
  • Genuine engagement (comments, shares, user-generated content)
  • Influencer partnerships or mentions
  • Press coverage (if applicable)

Communication and Transparency

Merchant behavior during underwriting:

Good indicators:

  • Responds promptly to information requests
  • Provides comprehensive documentation without evasion
  • Transparent about business model and challenges
  • Realistic about growth and capabilities
  • Open to site visit or inspection if requested
  • Willing to implement improvements or additional controls if needed

Red flags:

  • Slow to respond or requires multiple follow-ups
  • Provides incomplete information
  • Evasive when asked about supplier or operations
  • Overly optimistic projections without supporting data
  • Defensive or dismissive when concerns are raised
  • Pressures for quick approval

Common Misses: What We See When Controls Are Weak

1. Inconsistent Policies Across Touchpoints

We see merchants with policy documentation that contradicts itself across different pages or customer journey stages.

Example scenario:

Shipping policy page: "Orders ship from our partner warehouse in Asia and typically arrive in 15 to 30 business days."

Product pages: Display "Fast Shipping" badge and countdown timer "Order in next 4 hours for fast delivery"

Checkout page: Shipping option dropdown shows "Standard Shipping (3-5 business days)" (copied from template, never updated)

Email marketing: "Get it fast! Order today and receive within a week!"

Impact:

Customer's expectation is set by the most optimistic representation they encounter. If checkout says "3-5 business days" but actual delivery takes 21 days, the customer bases their complaint on the checkout promise, even though the shipping policy page technically disclosed longer times.

The result: item-not-received chargebacks with reason code "product not received" because customer expected delivery within 5 days based on checkout experience.

Card network perspective:

When merchant representment includes conflicting policy screenshots, the chargeback may be upheld in favor of the cardholder because merchant failed to clearly communicate delivery expectations.

2. Fake or Misleading Tracking Practices

Some dropshipping merchants provide tracking numbers that are real but do not correspond to the customer's actual order or destination.

Common problematic practices:

Generic tracking numbers:

  • Merchant provides same tracking number to multiple customers
  • Tracking shows delivery, but to a different address
  • Customers never receive their packages

Partial shipment tracking:

  • Tracking number is for a small portion of order (one item when customer ordered three)
  • Customer sees "delivered" but received incomplete order

Brushing scheme tracking:

  • Merchant ships lightweight, low-value item to customer's address or nearby address in same postal code
  • Provides tracking number showing "delivered"
  • Customer never receives the actual ordered product
  • Merchant uses tracking as "proof" of delivery to fight chargebacks

Wrong carrier tracking:

  • Tracking number is valid but for different carrier than stated
  • Customer cannot track package with information provided
  • By the time customer realizes issue, chargeback timeframe is expiring

Why merchants do this:

Primarily to avoid item-not-received chargebacks. If merchant can show "proof of delivery" via tracking, some acquiring banks will rule in merchant's favor on INR disputes.

Why it's high-risk:

  • Payment networks have become aware of fake tracking schemes
  • Card network operating regulations increasingly scrutinize tracking accuracy
  • Systematic use of fake tracking can be considered fraud
  • Acquirers may be held liable if pattern emerges across multiple merchants

Our verification approach:

For merchants with processing history:

  • Request 20-30 recent tracking numbers
  • Independently verify via carrier websites
  • Cross-reference tracking delivery address with order shipping address
  • Calculate percentage of "delivered" tracking that actually matches customer address
  • Check for patterns: multiple orders with same tracking, tracking delivered to different city or state, delivery time impossibly fast or slow

Red flags:

  • Merchant unable to provide tracking numbers
  • Tracking numbers are invalid or not found in carrier systems
  • Delivery addresses on tracking don't match order addresses
  • Customer complaints: "tracking shows delivered but I never received it"

3. Unclear or Unresponsive Support Channels

Merchants may list customer support contact methods on their website but fail to actually monitor or respond to them in a reasonable timeframe.

Common patterns:

Email black hole:

  • Email address is provided but goes to unmonitored inbox
  • Auto-reply confirms receipt but no human ever follows up
  • Customer sends multiple emails over weeks with no response
  • Merchant claims "we respond to all emails" but evidence shows otherwise

Disconnected phone:

  • Phone number listed on website
  • Number is disconnected, or rings endlessly without answer or voicemail
  • If voicemail exists, it's full and won't accept messages
  • No callback provided even if message is left

Outsourced support with no training:

  • Customer support is outsourced to third-party call center
  • Support representatives have no information about merchant's specific products, policies, or order status
  • Generic responses: "Your order is being processed", "Please wait", "We will check and get back to you"
  • Issues are never escalated or resolved
  • Language barriers create additional friction

Social media inquiries ignored:

  • Customers try to reach merchant via Facebook, Instagram, Twitter
  • Messages are sent but never read or replied to
  • Merchant's social media accounts appear active (posting content) but customer service inquiries are ignored

Impact:

When customers cannot resolve issues through support channels, they escalate to their bank. We observe correlation between poor support responsiveness and elevated chargeback rates.

4. No Contingency for Supplier Failures

Dropshipping merchants are inherently vulnerable to supplier disruptions. Single-supplier dependence creates catastrophic risk when that supplier experiences issues.

Common supplier failure scenarios:

Production or inventory disruption:

  • Supplier runs out of stock on popular item
  • Factory shutdown due to holiday, inspection, or closure
  • Quality control issue requires production halt
  • Supplier goes out of business

Shipping disruption:

  • Carrier delays due to weather, strikes, capacity constraints
  • International shipping disruptions (pandemic lockdowns, port congestion)
  • Customs issues holding shipments

Supplier relationship breakdown:

  • Payment dispute between merchant and supplier
  • Supplier increases prices suddenly
  • Supplier stops accepting orders from merchant
  • Supplier begins selling directly to consumers, competing with merchant

Fraud or supplier misconduct:

  • Supplier accepts payment but fails to ship orders
  • Supplier ships wrong or inferior products
  • Supplier provides fake tracking numbers
  • Supplier disappears

Impact on merchant without contingency plan:

Scenario: Merchant sources all products from single supplier in Shenzhen. Supplier experiences production delay due to regulatory inspection. Merchant has 200 pending orders with no ability to fulfill them.

Merchant's options (all problematic):

  1. Cancel all orders and issue refunds (generates 200 refund requests, reputation damage, potential chargebacks)
  2. Promise delays and hope customers wait (some will file chargebacks after 30 days)
  3. Source from expensive alternative supplier at a loss (unsustainable financially)
  4. Go silent and hope it blows over (worst option: leads to mass chargebacks, regulatory complaints, and acquirer termination)

What we look for to assess supplier contingency:

Backup supplier relationships:

  • Alternative sources identified for top-selling products
  • Documentation of secondary supplier contacts
  • Tested backup fulfillment (has merchant successfully ordered from alternative supplier?)

Supplier monitoring:

  • Does merchant track supplier performance and reliability?
  • Early warning system for supplier issues (order delays, quality problems)
  • Regular communication with supplier about capacity and inventory

Financial reserves:

  • Does merchant have cash reserves to cover refunds if fulfillment fails?
  • Can merchant absorb loss of sourcing from higher-cost alternative in emergency?

Communication plan:

  • How will merchant notify customers of delays?
  • Proactive communication strategy to prevent chargebacks

For new merchants (no history):

We assess:

  • Does merchant understand supplier risk?
  • Has merchant identified backup sourcing options?
  • Does merchant have realistic expectations about supplier reliability?
  • Financial runway to survive supplier disruption

Red flags:

  • Merchant has only one supplier and no alternatives identified
  • Merchant dismisses supplier risk
  • Merchant has no plan for supplier failures
  • Merchant cannot afford to refund orders if fulfillment fails

Evidence-Based Underwriting: Documentation Request List

When underwriting a dropshipping merchant, we request specific documentation at different stages. Each document serves to verify operational capability and identify risk.

At Application Stage

Business and legal documentation:

  1. Business registration or incorporation documents
  2. Employer Identification Number (EIN) or tax identification
  3. Beneficial owner identification for all 25%+ owners
  4. Business bank account information (account must be in business name)
  5. Website URL and social media accounts
  6. Business plan or merchant questionnaire

Supplier documentation:

  1. Supplier name, registration, and location (full address)
  2. Supplier agreement, contract, or terms of service
  3. Recent purchase orders or invoices (3-6 months if available)
  4. Supplier contact information (phone and email, independently verified)

Policy documentation:

  1. Shipping policy as displayed on website (screenshot or URL)
  2. Return policy as displayed on website
  3. Refund policy
  4. Terms of service
  5. Privacy policy (if collecting customer data)

Operations documentation:

  1. Description of order fulfillment process (from order to delivery)
  2. Inventory management method and sync frequency
  3. Customer support contact methods and staffing
  4. Estimated monthly processing volume and average ticket size
  5. Projected growth plan (next 12 months)

During Onboarding (For Merchants with Operating History)

Performance documentation:

  1. Sample tracking numbers from recent orders (20-30 examples)
  2. Delivery performance data: - Average delivery time by destination - Percentage delivered within promised timeframe - Delayed shipment rate and reasons
  3. Return processing data: - Number of returns (past 90 days) - Return rate (percentage of orders) - Return approval or denial breakdown - Refund processing time
  4. Order cancellation data: - Cancellation rate due to stockouts - Cancellation notification timing
  5. Customer support performance: - Support ticket volume (past 90 days) - Average first response time - Average resolution time - Sample tickets (sanitized)

Financial documentation:

  1. Bank statements showing business transactions (3-6 months)
  2. Supplier payment history
  3. Chargeback history (if processed cards previously)
  4. Current chargeback rate and reason code breakdown

System and infrastructure documentation:

  1. E-commerce platform and version
  2. Inventory management system documentation
  3. Customer support helpdesk system
  4. Order management system
  5. Payment gateway currently used (if any)

For New Merchants (No Operating History)

When merchant has no transaction history, verification shifts to capability assessment:

Enhanced supplier verification:

  • Independent verification of supplier identity and capacity
  • Supplier references or testimonials
  • Third-party supplier assessment (if high-risk)

Financial stability verification:

  • Personal financial statements of owners (for individual ownership)
  • Funding sources and runway
  • Reserve capacity to cover potential refunds

Test order commission:

  • Payment processor may commission test orders to verify fulfillment
  • Cost borne by processor or merchant depending on underwriting agreement
  • 2-3 test orders to different destinations
  • Verify delivery timing, tracking accuracy, product quality

Phased onboarding:

  • Lower initial processing limits ($10K-$25K per month)
  • Higher reserve (10-20% vs. 5-10% for established merchants)
  • Monthly performance review for first 3-6 months
  • Graduation to standard terms after demonstrating performance

Ongoing Monitoring Documentation

Monthly reporting requirements:

  1. Transaction volume and average ticket size
  2. Chargeback count and rate (by reason code)
  3. Refund count and rate
  4. Customer complaint summary
  5. Any significant operational changes (new suppliers, policy changes, new markets)

Quarterly review documentation:

  1. Updated delivery performance metrics
  2. Updated return processing metrics
  3. Customer support performance review
  4. Any regulatory inquiries or consumer protection complaints
  5. Financial statements or bank statements

Trigger event documentation:

If certain thresholds are exceeded, request additional documentation:

  • Chargeback rate >1%: Root cause analysis and corrective action plan
  • Return rate >20%: Quality assessment and supplier review
  • Cancellation rate >5%: Inventory management improvement plan
  • Processing volume increase >50% month-over-month: Capacity verification
  • New supplier added: Full supplier verification package
  • Consumer protection complaint received: Incident report and resolution

Risk Scoring and Segmentation Framework

Not all dropshipping merchants present the same risk. We segment based on multiple control factors to apply appropriate underwriting standards and monitoring requirements.

Supplier Verification

25%
Supplier identity verified Relationship documented Supplier reputation Domestic vs. international sourcing

Delivery Capability

25%
Realistic stated delivery times Policy consistency Tracking availability Customer delivery feedback

Returns Infrastructure

20%
Return policy reasonableness Return address location Processing capability Historical return performance

Customer Support

15%
Support contact availability Response speed Staffing adequacy Customer satisfaction trends

Inventory Management

15%
Inventory sync frequency Stockout handling Cancellation rate Backup sourcing options

Risk Score Components

We evaluate merchants across five dimensions:

Total risk score: 0-100

  • 80-100: Low risk
  • 60-79: Medium risk
  • 40-59: High risk
  • <40: Decline

Risk Tier Definitions and Requirements

Tier 1: Low Risk (Score 80-100)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity fully verified with established relationship (6+ months)
  • Realistic delivery times clearly stated and matched to supplier capabilities
  • Domestic return address or professional returns infrastructure
  • Responsive customer support with documented performance metrics (<24 hour response)
  • Automated inventory sync (daily or better)
  • Operating history with strong performance: chargeback rate <0.5%, return rate 5-15%, cancellation rate <3%
  • Positive external reputation (reviews >3.5/5, few complaints)

Underwriting terms:

  • Approved for standard card processing
  • Reserve: 5-10% rolling reserve
  • Processing limit: $100K-$250K per month initially
  • Settlement: T+3 to T+7 days
  • Monitoring: Monthly reporting, quarterly reviews

Ongoing requirements:

  • Maintain chargeback rate <0.75%
  • Maintain delivery performance >85% within stated timeframe
  • Respond to monitoring requests within 5 business days
  • Notify acquirer of material changes (new suppliers, policy changes)

Tier 2: Medium Risk (Score 60-79)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity verified but relationship is new (<6 months)
  • Delivery times stated are realistic but on longer end (20-30 days)
  • International return address but clear return policy with reasonable terms
  • Customer support exists but response times are 24-48 hours
  • Inventory sync is daily or manual with acceptable performance
  • New merchant (no history) OR established merchant with chargeback rate 0.5-1.0%
  • External reputation acceptable (reviews >3.0/5, some complaints)

Underwriting terms:

  • Approved with enhanced monitoring
  • Reserve: 10-20% rolling reserve
  • Processing limit: $50K-$100K per month initially
  • Settlement: T+7 to T+14 days
  • Monitoring: Bi-weekly reporting, monthly reviews

Ongoing requirements:

  • Maintain chargeback rate <1.0%
  • Implement improvements to reach Tier 1 within 6 months
  • Respond to monitoring requests within 3 business days
  • Weekly chargeback reporting if rate approaches 1.0%

Graduation path:

  • After 6 months of successful performance, can graduate to Tier 1 terms
  • Requires demonstrated improvement in key metrics
  • Review of updated documentation and systems

Tier 3: High Risk (Score 40-59)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity not fully verified OR relationship very new (<3 months)
  • Delivery times are optimistic or inconsistent across website
  • International return address with restrictive return policy, OR no clear returns process
  • Customer support is limited (email only with slow response) or non-professional
  • Manual inventory management or frequent stockouts
  • New merchant with questionable capability OR established merchant with chargeback rate 1.0-1.5%
  • External reputation poor (reviews <3.0/5, multiple complaints)

Underwriting decision:

  • Conditional approval with strict controls OR decline depending on specific factors
  • If approved: probationary period with intensive monitoring

Underwriting terms (if approved):

  • Reserve: 20-30% rolling reserve
  • Processing limit: $25K-$50K per month initially (low caps)
  • Settlement: T+14 to T+30 days (extended hold)
  • Monitoring: Weekly reporting, bi-weekly reviews
  • Mandatory improvements required within 90 days

Conditions of approval:

  • Must implement specific improvements within 90 days
  • Failure to improve results in termination
  • Chargeback rate >1.5% triggers immediate review and potential termination

Special requirements:

  • May require personal guarantees from beneficial owners
  • May require upfront deposit to cover chargeback risk
  • Site visit or third-party inspection may be required
  • Test orders commissioned at merchant's expense

Tier 4: Decline (Score <40)

Characteristics:

  • Supplier identity not disclosed or unverifiable
  • Delivery times are clearly misrepresented or impossible
  • No return policy or "all sales final" for non-defective goods
  • No viable customer support
  • No inventory management system
  • Previous merchant account terminations for chargebacks
  • Chargeback rate >1.5% (if history available)
  • Regulatory warnings, consumer protection actions, or legal issues
  • External reputation very poor (reviews <2.0/5, numerous complaints, BBB F rating)

Underwriting decision: DECLINE

Rationale:

  • Operational controls are insufficient to manage risk
  • High likelihood of excessive chargebacks, customer complaints, and regulatory scrutiny
  • Reputational risk to payment processor
  • Potential for merchant failure and stranded liabilities

Feedback to merchant:

  • Provide specific deficiencies that led to decline
  • Outline improvements required to reconsider application
  • Suggest merchant reapply after addressing deficiencies (minimum 6-12 months with demonstrated improvements)

Special Considerations

New merchants (no transaction history):

  • Automatically treated as Medium Risk minimum (Tier 2)
  • Can qualify for Tier 1 terms only if exceptional documentation and capability demonstration
  • Start at Tier 2 with graduation path to Tier 1 after 6 months of performance

Merchants with prior processing history:

  • Risk score heavily influenced by actual performance data
  • Strong historical performance can offset some documentation weaknesses
  • Poor historical performance (chargebacks, complaints) is difficult to overcome

Product category modifiers:

  • Some product categories carry inherently higher risk and may require +1 tier treatment:
  • Electronics (high value, elevated chargeback risk)
  • Luxury goods or designer items (counterfeit risk)
  • Health supplements (regulatory risk, efficacy claims)
  • Adult products (reputational risk, age verification)
  • Lower risk categories may receive benefit:
  • Low-value items (<$20 average order)
  • Non-controversial commodity goods
  • Products with low return rates

Red Flags: When to Decline or Escalate

Certain patterns indicate high likelihood of operational failure, intentional misrepresentation, or fraud. These trigger immediate decline or escalation to senior underwriting review.

Immediate Decline Indicators

These signals warrant immediate decline without further consideration:

Supplier disclosure refusal:

  • Merchant explicitly refuses to disclose supplier identity when directly asked
  • Claims supplier information is "proprietary" or "confidential" without legitimate reason
  • Provides obviously fabricated supplier information (non-existent company, fake address)
  • Supplier cannot be contacted or denies relationship with merchant

Stolen or misrepresented content:

  • Website displays stolen product images (reverse image search reveals images from major brands or other retailers without proper licensing)
  • Product descriptions copied verbatim from other sites
  • Website uses trademarked brand names without authorization
  • Counterfeit goods suspected or confirmed

Inventory misrepresentation:

  • Merchant claims to have physical inventory but cannot provide warehouse address or access
  • Warehouse address is fake or does not exist
  • "Warehouse" is a residential address and merchant cannot explain

Previous account terminations:

  • Multiple previous merchant accounts with same beneficial owners terminated for excessive chargebacks
  • Previous termination for fraud, money laundering, or illegal activity
  • Beneficial owners on MATCH list (terminated merchant file)

Regulatory or legal issues:

  • Active regulatory investigation or enforcement action
  • Cease-and-desist letter from state attorney general or FTC
  • Pending or recent litigation related to consumer fraud or deceptive practices
  • Criminal charges against beneficial owners for fraud or financial crimes

Deceptive practices:

  • Website includes fabricated testimonials, fake reviews, or false endorsements
  • Misleading certifications or affiliations (example: "BBB Accredited" when not)
  • False scarcity or urgency tactics (fake countdown timers, "only 2 left in stock" that never changes)
  • Bait-and-switch tactics discovered during underwriting

High-risk ownership:

  • Beneficial owners have prior fraud convictions
  • Beneficial owners appear on OFAC or other sanctions lists
  • Beneficial owners use false identities or provide fake identification documents
  • Ownership structure is intentionally obscured (multiple layers of entities, offshore registration without legitimate reason)

Escalation Indicators (Senior Review Required)

These signals require escalation to senior underwriting or compliance review rather than automatic decline:

Delivery time impossibility:

  • Merchant's stated delivery times are physically impossible given supplier location and shipping method
  • Example: promises 5-day delivery when supplier is in China and uses standard mail (actual time: 15-30 days)
  • Merchant may not be intentionally deceptive but has unrealistic understanding of logistics

Decision: Escalate. May be approved with required policy corrections and enhanced monitoring.

Problematic returns setup:

  • Return address is mailbox service or virtual office with no evidence of fulfillment operations
  • International return address creates significant barrier for customers
  • Return policy is present but very restrictive (could be legitimate business decision or red flag)

Decision: Escalate. Assess whether returns infrastructure is inadequate or intentionally designed to prevent returns.

Copied or templated website:

  • Website terms of service, privacy policy, or other legal content copied from another site
  • Includes incorrect company names, addresses, or references to other businesses
  • Suggests lack of attention to detail or rush to launch

Decision: Escalate. May be approved if merchant corrects content and demonstrates legitimacy.

Tracking irregularities:

  • Tracking numbers provided for sample orders show delivery to addresses not matching stated customer addresses
  • Pattern of tracking delivered to nearby but incorrect addresses
  • Some tracking numbers are invalid or not found

Decision: Escalate. Investigate whether this is systematic fake tracking (decline) or isolated supplier errors (may approve with monitoring).

Quality complaints suggesting counterfeits:

  • Customer complaints or reviews reference quality issues that suggest counterfeit or unauthorized goods
  • Products are branded goods sold at suspiciously low prices
  • Supplier is located in region known for counterfeit production

Decision: Escalate. Requires investigation of product sourcing and legitimacy. May request proof of authorized distribution.

Poor but not catastrophic external reputation:

  • Reviews are negative but not universally so (2.5-3.0 out of 5 star range)
  • BBB has complaints but merchant is responding and attempting resolution
  • Some customer complaints about delivery or quality but not systemic failure

Decision: Escalate. May be approved as High Risk (Tier 3) with intensive monitoring and required improvements.

Aggressive growth projections:

  • New merchant projects very high volume ($200K+ per month) immediately
  • Projections are not supported by funding, infrastructure, or market analysis
  • May indicate unrealistic expectations or attempt to secure high processing limits

Decision: Escalate. May approve with conservative initial limits and phased increase based on performance.

Escalation Review Process

When application is escalated:

Senior underwriter review:

  • Comprehensive review of all documentation
  • Additional information requests to merchant
  • Independent verification of questionable elements
  • Risk assessment and recommendation

Possible outcomes:

  1. Approve with conditions: Merchant can proceed with specific requirements (policy corrections, enhanced monitoring, lower limits)
  2. Approve as High Risk (Tier 3): Intensive monitoring and probationary period
  3. Request additional information: Cannot make decision without further documentation
  4. Decline: Risk is too high even with mitigating controls

Escalation criteria should be documented:

  • Why was application escalated?
  • What additional information was obtained?
  • What factors supported decision?
  • What conditions or monitoring requirements were imposed?

The Underwriting Question: What Is Your Single Best Fulfillment Proof?

When underwriting dropshipping merchants, we have found value in focusing on one key question that surfaces the most critical evidence:

"Can you demonstrate that your fulfillment process works as described?"

This question cuts through documentation and representations to assess actual operational capability.

Why This Question Matters

Merchants with genuine operational control can provide concrete evidence:

  • Supplier agreements and payment history
  • Tracking numbers from fulfilled orders
  • Customer communications showing successful delivery
  • System documentation showing order flow
  • Performance metrics demonstrating reliability

Merchants without operational control will:

  • Provide vague descriptions
  • Offer promises rather than evidence
  • Deflect or become defensive
  • Cannot produce tracking or performance data
  • Focus on future plans rather than current capability

Answering the Question: Evidence Hierarchy

We typically advise teams to accept evidence in this priority order:

Tier 1 Evidence (Strongest): Historical Performance Data

For merchants with operating history:

  • 90 days of delivery performance data showing >85% on-time delivery
  • Sample tracking numbers (20-30) showing actual fulfilled orders
  • Customer reviews or feedback demonstrating successful fulfillment
  • Return processing records showing functional returns system
  • Bank statements showing regular supplier payments

Assessment: Direct evidence of working fulfillment process. Strongest indicator of future performance.

Tier 2 Evidence: Test Order Demonstration

For new merchants without history:

  • Place test orders (2-3 products to different addresses)
  • Verify orders are fulfilled within stated timeframe
  • Confirm tracking is accurate
  • Assess product quality and packaging
  • Evaluate customer communication during process

Assessment: Direct observation of capability. More reliable than documentation alone. Requires time (15-30 days) and cost ($100-$300) but provides high confidence.

Tier 3 Evidence: Supplier Verification

For new merchants unable to demonstrate through test orders:

  • Independent verification that supplier exists and has stated products
  • Supplier confirms they will fulfill orders on merchant's behalf
  • Supplier demonstrates capability (inventory levels, shipping methods, quality controls)
  • Merchant has secured agreement or relationship with supplier

Assessment: Indirect evidence. Confirms supply chain exists but does not prove merchant can effectively manage it.

Tier 4 Evidence (Weakest): Documentation and Representations

  • Supplier agreements without verification
  • System documentation without usage history
  • Policies without implementation evidence
  • Projections and plans without execution

Assessment: Necessary but not sufficient. Documentation can be fabricated or aspirational. Must be supported by higher-tier evidence.

Practical Implementation

For acquirers and payment service providers:

Standard underwriting workflow:

  1. Request Tier 1 evidence (historical performance) from all applicants
  2. If unavailable (new merchant), commission Tier 2 evidence (test orders)
  3. If test orders are impractical (time-sensitive application), require Tier 3 evidence (supplier verification) plus elevated reserves and monitoring
  4. Never approve based solely on Tier 4 evidence (documentation) without independent verification

For established merchants:

  • Tier 1 evidence should be readily available
  • Refusal to provide performance data is red flag
  • Focus verification on data quality and consistency

For new merchants:

  • Tier 1 not available by definition
  • Default to Tier 2 (test orders) for medium-risk approvals
  • Tier 3 (supplier verification) acceptable for low-limit, high-reserve approvals
  • Consider rejecting applications that cannot provide any evidence beyond Tier 4

The Refusal to Provide Evidence

When a merchant cannot or will not answer the fulfillment proof question:

Common evasions:

  • "Our supplier relationship is confidential"
  • "We're too new to have that data"
  • "Our process will work, we just need approval to start"
  • "Other processors didn't ask for this"
  • "I'll get you that information later, can you approve me now?"

How to respond:

  • Explain that evidence of capability is required for approval
  • Offer alternative forms of evidence if preferred method is impractical
  • For new merchants, offer phased approval: start with low limits, graduate based on performance
  • If merchant remains evasive or refuses, decline application

Rationale for decline:

  • Inability to demonstrate fulfillment capability indicates high operational risk
  • Refusal to provide evidence suggests merchant is hiding problems
  • Payment processor cannot assess risk without verification
  • Better to decline than approve and face excessive chargebacks

Practical Implementation for Risk Teams

For Acquirers and Payment Service Providers

Integrate dropshipping-specific underwriting criteria into merchant onboarding workflows:

Merchant application should include:

  • Business model identification (inventory vs. dropship vs. hybrid)
  • If dropship: supplier disclosure requirement
  • Shipping policy documentation requirement
  • Return policy documentation requirement
  • Customer support structure description

Automated document verification:

  • Website policy scraping and analysis using merchant onboarding workflows
  • Supplier business registration verification
  • Review site API integration for reputation monitoring
  • Tracking number validation

Risk scoring integration:

  • Implement the five-dimension risk scoring framework
  • Automated calculation based on provided documentation
  • Risk tier assignment with corresponding terms
  • Escalation triggers for senior review

Monitoring thresholds specific to dropshipping:

  • Chargeback rate monitoring
  • Average delivery time tracking
  • Customer complaint rate monitoring
  • Return rate monitoring
  • Order cancellation rate monitoring

Reserve and settlement policies:

  • Tiered reserve requirements based on risk score (5-30%)
  • Extended settlement for higher-risk merchants (T+7 to T+30)
  • Dynamic reserve adjustment based on performance

For Risk and Compliance Teams

Build a library of acceptable supplier relationships and pre-verified fulfillment partners:

Supplier whitelist:

  • Maintain database of verified suppliers who have served multiple merchants successfully
  • When new merchant applies using whitelisted supplier, reduce verification burden
  • Periodically re-verify suppliers on whitelist (annual review)

Aggregation platform evaluation:

  • Assess major dropshipping platforms (Oberlo, DSers, Spocket, CJ Dropshipping, etc.)
  • Understand each platform's supplier vetting and quality controls
  • Risk-rate merchants using evaluated platforms
  • Merchants using unknown or unvetted platforms require full supplier verification

Maintain feedback loop between underwriting and monitoring teams:

Performance data should inform underwriting criteria:

  • Which supplier relationships lead to lowest chargeback rates?
  • What delivery timeframes result in acceptable customer satisfaction?
  • Which return policies generate fewest disputes?
  • What level of customer support prevents chargebacks?

Update underwriting criteria based on portfolio performance:

  • If certain risk factors correlate with failures, adjust scoring weights
  • If new patterns emerge (new fraud schemes, new supplier issues), add verification steps
  • Share learnings across team to improve consistency

Regulatory monitoring:

  • Track FTC enforcement actions related to e-commerce and delivery representations
  • Monitor state attorney general consumer protection actions
  • Stay informed on card network rule changes affecting e-commerce
  • Adjust underwriting criteria to address emerging regulatory risks

For Platforms and Marketplaces

If you operate a platform that enables dropshipping as a fulfillment model:

Require sellers to disclose fulfillment method at listing creation:

  • Checkbox or dropdown: "This item ships from my inventory" vs. "This item dropships from supplier"
  • If dropship: require supplier disclosure and shipping timeframe
  • Platform validates that delivery estimates are realistic based on supplier location

Display delivery expectations based on actual fulfillment source:

  • Don't show generic "3-5 day" shipping for all items
  • Calculate and display realistic delivery timeframe based on supplier location and shipping method
  • Clearly communicate to buyer: "Ships from [location], arrives in [timeframe]"

Implement seller performance metrics:

  • On-time delivery rate (percentage of orders delivered within promised timeframe)
  • Order cancellation rate (especially due to stockouts)
  • Return processing time
  • Customer response time
  • Customer satisfaction scores

Performance-based consequences:

  • Sellers below performance standards receive warnings
  • Repeated poor performance results in account restrictions or suspension
  • Top-performing sellers receive badges or other recognition
  • Performance metrics are visible to buyers

Platform-level controls:

  • Automated tracking number validation
  • Delivery time monitoring
  • Customer complaint aggregation
  • Assistance with supplier verification

Ballerine's Role

Dropshipping underwriting requires collecting, verifying, and continuously monitoring dozens of data points for each merchant. Manual execution does not scale and produces inconsistent results.

We provide infrastructure to make this process manageable: automated supplier verification across international business registries, policy extraction and consistency checking across merchant websites, real-time delivery performance monitoring with carrier API integration, and risk scoring models that calculate merchant risk tiers automatically.

Our workflow automation handles evidence collection through structured underwriting checklists, while ongoing monitoring dashboards track chargeback rates, delivery performance, and customer complaints in real time. When regulatory requirements change or card network rules update, our system distributes alerts and policy recommendations to risk teams.

The result: risk teams can underwrite dropshipping merchants consistently, detect problems before they become chargeback crises, and scale operations without proportional headcount increases. Dropshipping becomes a manageable merchant segment rather than a risk exposure.